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Stadium Background

Sarpsborg 08 vs Kristiansund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sarpsborg 08 host Kristiansund in the Eliteserien. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Sarpsborg 08 at 1.3 goals for, 1.44 against; Kristiansund at 1.18 for, 1.89 against. Head-to-head, Sarpsborg 08 have won 1 to Kristiansund's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.25 vs 1.31, favoring Sarpsborg 08. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Sarpsborg 08
15%
Draws
26%
Kristiansund
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarpsborg 08

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sarpsborg 08 lately — more wins on the board than Kristiansund.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Sarpsborg 08 taking it.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 18%
Kristiansund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarpsborg 08 Kristiansund
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.3 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Eliteserien
Kristiansund vs Sarpsborg 08
0:0
Feb 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Kristiansund vs Sarpsborg 08
0:1
Aug 25, 2025 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Kristiansund
0:1
Jul 13, 2025 Eliteserien
Kristiansund vs Sarpsborg 08
0:0
Sep 15, 2024 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Kristiansund
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 85 / 100
Kristiansund 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarpsborg 08 Kristiansund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarpsborg 08 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kristiansund let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Sarpsborg 08 scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Sarpsborg 08 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kristiansund's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 VS Kristiansund
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarpsborg 08

(Home)
18 Oct
Sarpsborg 08
0 : 3
Rosenborg
11 Oct
Aalesund
2 : 4
Sarpsborg 08
30 Sept
Follo
0 : 2
Sarpsborg 08
18 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 3
KFUM Oslo
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
Page 1 of 6

Kristiansund

(Away)
17 Oct
Kristiansund
1 : 4
Aalesund
10 Oct
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 1
Kristiansund
04 Oct
Molde
3 : 0
Kristiansund
19 Sept
Kristiansund
1 : 3
Rosenborg
16 Sept
Brattvag
1 : 2
Kristiansund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodo/Glimt 23 18 2 3 58:20 56
2 Viking 23 18 2 3 59:22 56
3 Molde 23 12 4 7 52:35 40
4 Tromso 23 11 7 5 42:31 40
5 Rosenborg 23 11 4 8 43:31 37
6 Lillestrom 23 11 3 9 32:31 36
7 Brann 23 9 2 12 40:37 29
8 Fredrikstad 23 8 5 10 28:36 29
9 KFUM Oslo 23 8 5 10 28:37 29
10 Sarpsborg 08 23 7 7 9 28:34 28
11 Valerenga 23 7 5 11 38:46 26
12 Ham-Kam 23 7 5 11 33:48 26
13 Sandefjord 23 6 6 11 22:30 24
14 Aalesund 23 5 9 9 39:51 24
15 Kristiansund 23 5 4 14 23:47 19
16 Start 23 4 4 15 25:54 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)