Sport Picks

Norway

Eliteserien Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg 08

2 - 1

Molde

Our Tip

Match Events

Karlsbakk D.

(Penalty)

10'

Hestad E.

26'

Utvik B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Sarpsborg 08 and Molde finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarpsborg 08.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Sarpsborg 08

20%

Draws

38%

Molde

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sarpsborg 08

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Molde haven't matched Sarpsborg 08's recent run of results.
42% — that's where the model lands on Sarpsborg 08 taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Sarpsborg 08 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 10%

Molde Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sarpsborg 08	Molde
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	14	12
Draws	3	4
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	1.13	2
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Eliteserien

Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde

Possession: 53% - 59% Cards: 0 - 1

2:1

Nov 30, 2025 Eliteserien

Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde

Possession: 46% - 43% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Mar 30, 2025 Eliteserien

Molde vs Sarpsborg 08

Possession: 44% - 60% Cards: 0 - 1

0:2

Nov 10, 2024 Eliteserien

Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde

Possession: 54% - 47% Cards: 4 - 3

2:2

May 20, 2024 Eliteserien

Molde vs Sarpsborg 08

Possession: 49% - 46% Cards: 3 - 2

2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarpsborg 08 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hiim A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Molde Compare

Top Goalscorer Hestad E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 40 / 100

Molde 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sarpsborg 08 Molde

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarpsborg 08 scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Molde conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Sarpsborg 08 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 VS Molde

1.13 Goals Scored 2

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	13	9	2	2	31:11	29
2	Tromso	14	8	4	2	22:14	28
3	Viking	11	9	0	2	29:11	27
4	Lillestrom	12	7	1	4	19:11	22
5	Molde	12	6	2	4	20:15	20
6	Ham-Kam	11	5	3	3	19:18	18
7	Sarpsborg 08	12	5	2	5	14:16	17
8	Valerenga	13	5	2	6	19:22	17
9	Brann	13	5	1	7	26:21	16
10	Sandefjord	12	4	3	5	12:15	15
11	Fredrikstad	13	4	2	7	15:23	14
12	Rosenborg	12	3	3	6	12:18	12
13	KFUM Oslo	12	3	3	6	12:19	12
14	Aalesund	13	2	6	5	18:28	12
15	Kristiansund	12	3	2	7	11:21	11
16	Start	13	1	4	8	14:30	7