Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Karlsbakk D.
(Penalty)
10'
Hestad E.
26'
Utvik B.

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Sarpsborg 08 and Molde finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarpsborg 08.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Sarpsborg 08
30%
Draws
50%
Molde
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Molde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Sarpsborg 08 haven't matched Molde's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Molde taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 10%
Molde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarpsborg 08 Molde
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.25 2.52
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Eliteserien
Molde vs Sarpsborg 08
3:3
May 25, 2026 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 Eliteserien
Molde vs Sarpsborg 08
0:2
Nov 10, 2024 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarpsborg 08 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hiim A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Molde Compare

Top Goalscorer Hestad E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 10 / 100
Molde 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarpsborg 08 Molde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Molde has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Sarpsborg 08 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Sarpsborg 08 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 VS Molde
1.25 Goals Scored 3.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarpsborg 08

(Home)
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2
Valerenga
30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0
Sarpsborg 08
22 Aug
Sparta Sarpsborg
0 : 2
Sarpsborg 08
16 Aug
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 2
Sandefjord
Page 1 of 6

Molde

(Away)
13 Sept
Ham-Kam
1 : 5
Molde
06 Sept
Molde
2 : 0
KFUM Oslo
30 Aug
Valerenga
3 : 4
Molde
22 Aug
Midsund
0 : 11
Molde
16 Aug
Molde
3 : 2
Tromso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodo/Glimt 19 15 2 2 49:15 47
2 Viking 20 15 2 3 51:20 47
3 Molde 20 11 3 6 43:30 36
4 Tromso 20 10 5 5 37:27 35
5 Lillestrom 20 10 2 8 28:26 32
6 Rosenborg 20 9 3 8 36:29 30
7 Fredrikstad 20 8 3 9 24:31 27
8 Brann 20 8 2 10 37:31 26
9 Sarpsborg 08 20 6 7 7 23:26 25
10 Ham-Kam 20 6 5 9 27:41 23
11 Valerenga 20 6 4 10 33:42 22
12 KFUM Oslo 20 6 4 10 22:34 22
13 Sandefjord 19 5 5 9 16:24 20
14 Kristiansund 20 5 4 11 20:37 19
15 Aalesund 20 3 9 8 31:45 18
16 Start 20 4 4 12 22:41 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)