Sport Picks

Norway

Eliteserien Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg 08

1 - 0

Viking

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Karlsbakk D.

Assist: Niyukuri C.

46'

Sub

Bell J. In: Moi T.

Out: Bell J.

59'

Moi T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Sarpsborg 08 and Viking finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarpsborg 08.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Sarpsborg 08

40%

Draws

29%

Viking

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Viking carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 10%

Viking Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sarpsborg 08	Viking
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	14	22
Draws	3	3
Losses	12	3
Goals Scored	1	2.38
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Eliteserien

Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking

Possession: 52% - 51% Cards: 1 - 4

1:0

Mar 1, 2026 Club Friendly

Viking vs Sarpsborg 08

Possession: 50% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Sep 27, 2025 Eliteserien

Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking

Possession: 52% - 51% Cards: 0 - 4

3:3

Jul 9, 2025 NM Cup

Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking

Possession: 50% - 51% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

May 4, 2025 Eliteserien

Viking vs Sarpsborg 08

Possession: 52% - 45% Cards: 0 - 4

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarpsborg 08 Compare

Top Goalscorer Karlsbakk D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Viking Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 30 / 100

Viking 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sarpsborg 08 Viking

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarpsborg 08's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Viking's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sarpsborg 08 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 VS Viking

1 Goals Scored 2.38

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13

63% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tromso	15	9	4	2	26:15	31
2	Viking	12	10	0	2	31:12	30
3	Bodo/Glimt	13	9	2	2	31:11	29
4	Lillestrom	13	8	1	4	21:12	25
5	Molde	13	6	2	5	21:17	20
6	Brann	14	6	1	7	28:22	19
7	Ham-Kam	12	5	3	4	20:22	18
8	Sarpsborg 08	13	5	3	5	14:16	18
9	Valerenga	13	5	2	6	19:22	17
10	Rosenborg	13	4	3	6	15:18	15
11	Sandefjord	13	4	3	6	13:17	15
12	Fredrikstad	13	4	2	7	15:23	14
13	KFUM Oslo	13	3	3	7	13:21	12
14	Aalesund	13	2	6	5	18:28	12
15	Kristiansund	13	3	3	7	11:21	12
16	Start	14	1	4	9	14:33	7