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Sarpsborg 08 W vs KFUM Oslo W

Norway Norway

Norway Cup Women 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sarpsborg 08 W play KFUM Oslo W in the Norway Cup Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sarpsborg 08 W averaged 0.9 goals scored and 3.37 conceded. KFUM Oslo W averaged 0.78 goals scored and 2.44 conceded. In past meetings, Sarpsborg 08 W won 1, KFUM Oslo W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 30, 2025 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Sarpsborg 08 W and 2.00 for KFUM Oslo W. This points to a Sarpsborg 08 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Sarpsborg 08 W
15%
Draws
40%
KFUM Oslo W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarpsborg 08 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Sarpsborg 08 W picked up more points recently compared to KFUM Oslo W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Sarpsborg 08 W Clean Sheet 10%
KFUM Oslo W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarpsborg 08 W KFUM Oslo W
Matches Played 30 9
Wins 3 2
Draws 3 0
Losses 24 7
Goals Scored 0.9 0.78
Goals Conceded 3.37 2.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2025 Norway Cup Women
Sarpsborg 08 W vs KFUM Oslo W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarpsborg 08 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Arnesen J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Larsen I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

KFUM Oslo W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 W 43 / 100
KFUM Oslo W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarpsborg 08 W KFUM Oslo W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sarpsborg 08 W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sarpsborg 08 W attacking → ← attacking KFUM Oslo W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarpsborg 08 W scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

KFUM Oslo W let in goals in 89% of their last 9 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Sarpsborg 08 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

KFUM Oslo W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 6
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
3.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88