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Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Atletico Uri Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Piseddu A.
6' Event
Demarcus A.
81' Event
De Cenco C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 game between Sarrabus Ogliastra and Atletico Uri finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Sarrabus Ogliastra
20%
Draws
0%
Atletico Uri
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sarrabus Ogliastra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Atletico Uri haven't matched Sarrabus Ogliastra's recent run of results.
  • Sarrabus Ogliastra are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sarrabus Ogliastra Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Uri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarrabus Ogliastra Atletico Uri
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.26 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Atletico Uri
2:2
Sep 15, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Atletico Uri vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
0:0
Jan 7, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Atletico Uri vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
2:3
Sep 10, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Atletico Uri
4:1
Jan 28, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Atletico Uri vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarrabus Ogliastra Compare

Top Goalscorer Piseddu A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Atletico Uri Compare

Top Goalscorer Demarcus A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Cenco C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarrabus Ogliastra 76 / 100
Atletico Uri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarrabus Ogliastra Atletico Uri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarrabus Ogliastra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Atletico Uri registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Sarrabus Ogliastra found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Atletico Uri conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sarrabus Ogliastra VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarrabus Ogliastra

(Home)
27 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2
Unipomezia
20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
16 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 2
Certosa V. Campagnano
13 Sept
Anzio Calcio 1924
0 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
06 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
1 : 2
Monastir
Page 1 of 7

Atletico Uri

(Away)
04 May
Atl. Lodigiani
3 : 1
Atletico Uri
27 Apr
Atletico Uri
1 : 2
Olbia
17 Apr
Paganese
1 : 0
Atletico Uri
13 Apr
Atletico Uri
1 : 2
Real Monterotondo
06 Apr
Trastevere Calcio
3 : 1
Atletico Uri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guidonia 1937 34 20 9 5 59:25 69
2 Gelbison 34 18 10 6 57:37 64
3 Sarnese 34 18 8 8 54:37 62
4 Cassino 34 15 13 6 40:25 58
5 A.C. Savoia 34 16 9 9 45:33 57
6 Paganese 34 15 11 8 41:28 56
7 Cynthialbalonga 34 15 6 13 49:42 51
8 Puteolana Internapoli 34 13 11 10 48:42 50
9 Trastevere Calcio 34 12 8 14 52:55 44
10 Olbia 34 11 9 14 46:50 42
11 Latte Dolce 34 11 8 15 52:57 41
12 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 10 14 39:57 40
13 Atl. Lodigiani 34 9 11 14 39:49 38
14 Real Monterotondo 34 10 8 16 34:39 38
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 10 8 16 39:41 38
16 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 8 9 17 35:56 33
17 Atletico Uri 34 6 11 17 33:53 29
18 Terracina 34 5 9 20 27:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Out)