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Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Monastir Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Corcione M.
67' Event
Alfredo
86' Event
Mameli G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G game between Sarrabus Ogliastra and Monastir finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monastir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sarrabus Ogliastra
30%
Draws
47%
Monastir
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monastir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Monastir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Monastir are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Monastir have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sarrabus Ogliastra Clean Sheet 14%
Monastir Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarrabus Ogliastra Monastir
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.15 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Monastir
1:2
Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Monastir
1:3
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Monastir vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarrabus Ogliastra Compare

Top Goalscorer Alfredo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Monastir Compare

Top Goalscorer Corcione M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mameli G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarrabus Ogliastra 27 / 100
Monastir 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarrabus Ogliastra Monastir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monastir Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Sarrabus Ogliastra found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Monastir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Sarrabus Ogliastra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarrabus Ogliastra VS Monastir
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarrabus Ogliastra

(Home)
27 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2
Unipomezia
20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
16 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 2
Certosa V. Campagnano
13 Sept
Anzio Calcio 1924
0 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
06 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
1 : 2
Monastir
Page 1 of 6

Monastir

(Away)
27 Sept
Monastir
2 : 2
Albalonga
20 Sept
Monastir
2 : 1
Aranova
16 Sept
Anzio Calcio 1924
3 : 1
Monastir
12 Sept
Monastir
5 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
06 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
1 : 2
Monastir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarnese 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
2 Paganese 5 3 1 1 13:7 10
3 Monastir 5 3 1 1 12:8 10
4 Trastevere Calcio 5 3 1 1 8:10 10
5 Certosa V. Campagnano 5 3 0 2 8:3 9
6 Unipomezia 5 2 2 1 8:5 8
7 Albalonga 5 2 2 1 9:7 8
8 Ossese 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
9 Budoni Calcio 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
10 Anzio Calcio 1924 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
11 Gelbison 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
12 Afragolese 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
13 Aranova 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
14 Citta di Anagni 5 2 0 3 7:10 6
15 Sarrabus Ogliastra 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
16 Latte Dolce 5 0 2 3 6:11 2
17 Atl. Lodigiani 5 0 1 4 7:14 1
18 US Venafro 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)