Sport Picks
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Nocerina Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nocerina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sarrabus Ogliastra have won more games recently than Nocerina.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sarrabus Ogliastra Clean Sheet 18%
Nocerina Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sarrabus Ogliastra | Nocerina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Nocerina
0:0
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Nocerina vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
2:1
Feb 24, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Nocerina vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
1:0
Oct 22, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Nocerina
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sarrabus Ogliastra 36 / 100
Nocerina 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sarrabus Ogliastra Nocerina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nocerina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sarrabus Ogliastra scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Nocerina has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.
Sarrabus Ogliastra has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sarrabus Ogliastra VS Nocerina
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sarrabus Ogliastra
(Home) 27 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2 Unipomezia
20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra
16 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 2 Certosa V. Campagnano
13 Sept
Anzio Calcio 1924
0 : 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra
06 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
1 : 2 Monastir
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2 Unipomezia
16 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 2 Certosa V. Campagnano
06 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
1 : 2 Monastir
03 May
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2 Olbia
12 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 1 Budoni Calcio
Page 1 of 3
Nocerina
(Away) 27 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 0 Palmese 1914
20 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1 Nocerina
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2 Ischia
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2 Nocerina
06 Sept
Nocerina
2 : 1 Ebolitana
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1 Nocerina
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2 Nocerina
26 Apr
Monastir
1 : 0 Nocerina
12 Apr
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 0 Nocerina
29 Mar
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 0 Nocerina
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scafatese | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 75:23 | 87 |
| 2 | Trastevere Calcio | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 64:46 | 60 |
| 3 | Monastir | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:44 | 53 |
| 4 | Flaminia | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53:37 | 51 |
| 5 | Albalonga | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 55:55 | 50 |
| 6 | Latte Dolce | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:49 | 48 |
| 7 | Valmontone | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:50 | 48 |
| 8 | Nocerina | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 36:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:51 | 46 |
| 10 | Budoni Calcio | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 33:32 | 45 |
| 11 | Palmese 1914 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 12 | Atl. Lodigiani | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:40 | 44 |
| 13 | Ischia | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 36:52 | 43 |
| 14 | Anzio Calcio 1924 | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 15 | Real Monterotondo | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39:58 | 36 |
| 16 | Olbia | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 39:50 | 36 |
| 17 | Montespaccato | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 47:58 | 30 |
| 18 | Cassino | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 24:55 | 21 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)
