Sport Picks
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Olbia Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 
Match Events
12'
12'
Santi R.
16'
16'
Loi E.
54'
54'
Tomaselli F.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 game between Sarrabus Ogliastra and Olbia finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Olbia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Sarrabus Ogliastra carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sarrabus Ogliastra Clean Sheet 18%
Olbia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sarrabus Ogliastra | Olbia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.43 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Olbia
2:2
Dec 20, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Olbia vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Olbia
1:1
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Olbia vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sarrabus Ogliastra Compare
Top Goalscorer Loi E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nurchi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71
Olbia Compare
Top Goalscorer Santi R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tomaselli F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.74
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sarrabus Ogliastra 31 / 100
Olbia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sarrabus Ogliastra Olbia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sarrabus Ogliastra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Olbia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
Sarrabus Ogliastra's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.25 goals.
Solid form: Sarrabus Ogliastra remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sarrabus Ogliastra VS Olbia
1 Goals Scored 1.43
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.86
63% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
Sarrabus Ogliastra
(Home) 27 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2 Unipomezia
20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra
16 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 2 Certosa V. Campagnano
13 Sept
Anzio Calcio 1924
0 : 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra
06 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
1 : 2 Monastir
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2 Unipomezia
16 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 2 Certosa V. Campagnano
06 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
1 : 2 Monastir
03 May
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2 Olbia
12 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 1 Budoni Calcio
Page 1 of 3
Olbia
(Away) 10 May
Ischia
2 : 1 Olbia
03 May
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2 Olbia
26 Apr
Olbia
2 : 1 Anzio Calcio 1924
19 Apr
Olbia
3 : 2 Trastevere Calcio
12 Apr
Scafatese
4 : 1 Olbia
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Ischia
2 : 1 Olbia
03 May
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2 Olbia
12 Apr
Scafatese
4 : 1 Olbia
29 Mar
Monastir
1 : 0 Olbia
15 Mar
Ischia
1 : 3 Olbia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scafatese | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 75:23 | 87 |
| 2 | Trastevere Calcio | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 64:46 | 60 |
| 3 | Monastir | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:44 | 53 |
| 4 | Flaminia | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53:37 | 51 |
| 5 | Albalonga | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 55:55 | 50 |
| 6 | Latte Dolce | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:49 | 48 |
| 7 | Valmontone | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:50 | 48 |
| 8 | Nocerina | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 36:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:51 | 46 |
| 10 | Budoni Calcio | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 33:32 | 45 |
| 11 | Palmese 1914 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 12 | Atl. Lodigiani | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:40 | 44 |
| 13 | Ischia | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 36:52 | 43 |
| 14 | Anzio Calcio 1924 | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 15 | Real Monterotondo | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39:58 | 36 |
| 16 | Olbia | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 39:50 | 36 |
| 17 | Montespaccato | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 47:58 | 30 |
| 18 | Cassino | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 24:55 | 21 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)
