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Sarriana vs Marino De Luanco Prediction & H2H Stats

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Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Basurto A.

AI Match Summary

Marino De Luanco in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marino De Luanco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sarriana
15%
Draws
34%
Marino De Luanco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarriana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Sarriana have won more games recently than Marino De Luanco.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Sarriana taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Sarriana Clean Sheet 16%
Marino De Luanco Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarriana Marino De Luanco
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.24 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Sarriana vs Marino De Luanco
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Marino De Luanco vs Sarriana
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarriana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Marino De Luanco Compare

Top Goalscorer Basurto A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarriana 41 / 100
Marino De Luanco 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarriana Marino De Luanco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarriana's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Marino De Luanco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sarriana stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarriana VS Marino De Luanco
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarriana

(Home)
26 Sept
Sarriana
3 : 2
Gran Pena
20 Sept
Alondras
2 : 0
Sarriana
13 Sept
Sarriana
2 : 0
Viveiro
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3
Sarriana
03 May
Sarriana
3 : 4
Rayo Cantabria
Page 1 of 6

Marino De Luanco

(Away)
27 Sept
Marino De Luanco
1 : 2
Basconia
19 Sept
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0
Marino De Luanco
13 Sept
Marino De Luanco
0 : 2
Ourense CF
06 Sept
Compostela
0 : 3
Marino De Luanco
11 Aug
Marino De Luanco
6 : 1
Langreo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 34 20 9 5 59:22 69
2 Real Oviedo B 34 16 10 8 50:35 58
3 Numancia 34 15 11 8 46:31 56
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 40:34 55
5 Coruxo FC 34 15 7 12 46:37 52
6 Gimnastica Segoviana 34 14 9 11 37:36 51
7 Real Avila 34 14 8 12 48:52 50
8 Salamanca CF UDS 34 14 8 12 43:36 50
9 Rayo Cantabria 34 11 15 8 63:50 48
10 Bergantinos 34 13 9 12 44:37 48
11 Atletico Astorga 34 12 9 13 41:43 45
12 Marino De Luanco 34 11 12 11 31:26 45
13 Valladolid Promesas 34 12 9 13 59:58 45
14 Langreo 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
15 Sarriana 34 11 7 16 42:42 40
16 Burgos CF B 34 8 12 14 38:55 36
17 Lealtad 34 7 7 20 31:54 28
18 UD Samano 34 3 6 25 23:87 15
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)