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Sarriana vs Portonovo SD - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sarriana host Portonovo SD in the Tercera RFEF - Group 1. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Portonovo SD have shipped 1.93 goals a game lately, while Sarriana have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.24. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.37 - 1.13) back Sarriana to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sarriana
15%
Draws
42%
Portonovo SD
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarriana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sarriana lately — more wins on the board than Portonovo SD.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sarriana Clean Sheet 20%
Portonovo SD Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarriana Portonovo SD
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.24 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.37 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarriana 32 / 100
Portonovo SD 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarriana Portonovo SD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sarriana scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Portonovo SD's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Sarriana has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Portonovo SD lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarriana VS Portonovo SD
1.88 Goals Scored 1.14
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.86
63% Over 1.5 43%
50% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarriana

(Home)
04 Oct
Somozas
2 : 1
Sarriana
26 Sept
Sarriana
3 : 2
Gran Pena
20 Sept
Alondras
2 : 0
Sarriana
13 Sept
Sarriana
2 : 0
Viveiro
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3
Sarriana
Page 1 of 6

Portonovo SD

(Away)
10 Oct
Pontevedra B
0 : 1
Portonovo SD
04 Oct
Portonovo SD
0 : 1
Lalin
27 Sept
Portonovo SD
4 : 2
Silva SD
20 Sept
Barco
2 : 1
Portonovo SD
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1
Arenteiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
2 Portonovo SD 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Barco 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
4 Lalin 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
5 Antela 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
6 Sarriana 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
7 Racing Club Villalbes 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
8 Alondras 5 3 0 2 10:9 9
9 Pontevedra B 6 2 1 3 9:7 7
10 Gran Pena 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
11 Estradense 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
12 Somozas 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
13 Atletico Arteixo 6 1 3 2 8:10 6
14 Celtiga 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
15 Silva SD 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
16 Viveiro 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
17 Arenteiro 5 1 0 4 4:7 3
18 Montaneros 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)