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Sarriana vs Viveiro

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Perez Alvarez A.
60' Event
Perez Alvarez A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 game between Sarriana and Viveiro finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarriana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Sarriana
15%
Draws
28%
Viveiro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarriana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sarriana come out ahead of Viveiro on wins alone.
  • Sarriana are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Sarriana Clean Sheet 68%
Viveiro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarriana Viveiro
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.32 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Sarriana vs Viveiro
2:0
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Viveiro vs Sarriana
3:1
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Sarriana vs Viveiro
3:1
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Sarriana vs Viveiro
0:1
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Viveiro vs Sarriana
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarriana Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez Alvarez A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Viveiro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarriana 86 / 100
Viveiro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarriana Viveiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarriana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarriana found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Viveiro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Viveiro has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sarriana VS Viveiro
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarriana

(Home)
13 Sept
Sarriana
2 : 0
Viveiro
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3
Sarriana
03 May
Sarriana
3 : 4
Rayo Cantabria
26 Apr
Atletico Astorga
1 : 0
Sarriana
19 Apr
Sarriana
0 : 1
Marino De Luanco
Page 1 of 7

Viveiro

(Away)
13 Sept
Sarriana
2 : 0
Viveiro
06 Sept
Viveiro
0 : 1
Antela
10 May
Viveiro
0 : 1
Compostela
03 May
Alondras
1 : 2
Viveiro
25 Apr
Estradense
2 : 0
Viveiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Racing Club Villalbes 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
3 Sarriana 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
4 Barco 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
5 Lalin 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
6 Alondras 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
7 Atletico Arteixo 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
8 Pontevedra B 3 1 1 1 8:5 4
9 Estradense 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
10 Portonovo SD 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
11 Gran Pena 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
12 Silva SD 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
13 Antela 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
14 Arenteiro 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
15 Somozas 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
16 Celtiga 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
17 Montaneros 3 0 0 3 5:9 0
18 Viveiro 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)