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Sasel vs Curslack-Neuengamme

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sasel play Curslack-Neuengamme in the Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026. Sasel are favorites here. Recently, Sasel averaged 2.76 goals scored and 2.55 conceded. Curslack-Neuengamme averaged 1.3 goals scored and 4.83 conceded. In past meetings, Sasel won 5, Curslack-Neuengamme won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Sasel and 1.00 for Curslack-Neuengamme. This points to a Sasel double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Sasel
25%
Draws
15%
Curslack-Neuengamme
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Sasel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Sasel picked up more points recently compared to Curslack-Neuengamme.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 98%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sasel Clean Sheet 23%
Curslack-Neuengamme Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 88%
Second Half Goal 93%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sasel Curslack-Neuengamme
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 1
Draws 7 2
Losses 10 27
Goals Scored 2.76 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.55 4.83
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 4.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
Curslack-Neuengamme vs Sasel
2:4
Nov 2, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs Curslack-Neuengamme
9:1
Dec 11, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs Curslack-Neuengamme
5:2
Aug 20, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
Curslack-Neuengamme vs Sasel
1:3
Nov 28, 2021 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs Curslack-Neuengamme
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sasel 59 / 100
Curslack-Neuengamme 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sasel Curslack-Neuengamme

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sasel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Sasel & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +6.8%
1.20
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sasel attacking → ← attacking Curslack-Neuengamme

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sasel scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Curslack-Neuengamme let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.40 goals.

Sasel went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Curslack-Neuengamme lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 5
3.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.13