Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sasel vs Niendorfer TSV

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 game between Sasel and Niendorfer TSV finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sasel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Sasel
15%
Draws
31%
Niendorfer TSV
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sasel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Niendorfer TSV come out ahead of Sasel on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sasel a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Sasel Clean Sheet 10%
Niendorfer TSV Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sasel Niendorfer TSV
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 2.9 2.39
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs Niendorfer TSV
3:2
Sep 7, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Niendorfer TSV vs Sasel
4:1
Mar 30, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Niendorfer TSV vs Sasel
2:0
Oct 13, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs Niendorfer TSV
2:1
Mar 28, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Niendorfer TSV vs Sasel
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sasel 83 / 100
Niendorfer TSV 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sasel Niendorfer TSV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sasel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sasel's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Niendorfer TSV let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Sasel went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sasel VS Niendorfer TSV
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sasel

(Home)
06 Sept
Paloma
3 : 2
Sasel
30 Aug
Sasel
3 : 2
Tesla Hamburg
21 Aug
Eintracht Norderstedt II
0 : 3
Sasel
16 Aug
Sasel
3 : 1
Harksheide
01 Aug
Altona
0 : 2
Sasel
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Niendorfer TSV

(Away)
06 Sept
Niendorfer TSV
1 : 0
Suderelbe
30 Aug
Pinneberg
5 : 0
Niendorfer TSV
23 Aug
Niendorfer TSV
0 : 6
SC Victoria Hamburg
14 Aug
Vorwarts-Wacker
2 : 2
Niendorfer TSV
02 Aug
Niendorfer TSV
4 : 1
HT 16
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