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Sasel vs Tesla Hamburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg game between Sasel and Tesla Hamburg finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sasel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Sasel
20%
Draws
22%
Tesla Hamburg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sasel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sasel come out ahead of Tesla Hamburg on wins alone.
  • 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • Sasel have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Sasel Clean Sheet 10%
Tesla Hamburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sasel Tesla Hamburg
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 2.04 2
Goals Conceded 2.39 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs Tesla Hamburg
3:2
Mar 29, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs Tesla Hamburg
4:4
Oct 12, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Tesla Hamburg vs Sasel
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sasel 29 / 100
Tesla Hamburg 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sasel Tesla Hamburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sasel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tesla Hamburg has conceded goals in 100% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Sasel found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Sasel remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sasel VS Tesla Hamburg
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sasel

(Home)
07 Nov
Teutonia Ottensen
1 : 1
Sasel
01 Nov
Sasel
1 : 3
Dassendorf
25 Oct
HEBC Hamburg
2 : 3
Sasel
16 Oct
Suderelbe
1 : 2
Sasel
10 Oct
Sasel
1 : 1
Pinneberg
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Tesla Hamburg

(Away)
08 Nov
Tesla Hamburg
1 : 3
Paloma
01 Nov
Tesla Hamburg
1 : 2
HEBC Hamburg
23 Oct
Eintracht Norderstedt II
2 : 1
Tesla Hamburg
10 Oct
Altona
4 : 2
Tesla Hamburg
04 Oct
Tesla Hamburg
6 : 1
TSV Buchholz 08
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