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Sasel vs Tesla Hamburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 game between Sasel and Tesla Hamburg finished 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sasel
15%
Draws
34%
Tesla Hamburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sasel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Tesla Hamburg haven't matched Sasel's recent run of results.
  • Sasel are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • Sasel have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Sasel Clean Sheet 10%
Tesla Hamburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sasel Tesla Hamburg
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.48 2.04
Goals Conceded 2.48 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs Tesla Hamburg
3:2
Mar 29, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs Tesla Hamburg
4:4
Oct 12, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Tesla Hamburg vs Sasel
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sasel 38 / 100
Tesla Hamburg 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sasel Tesla Hamburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sasel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sasel found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Tesla Hamburg let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Away concern: Tesla Hamburg has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sasel VS Tesla Hamburg
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sasel

(Home)
20 Sept
HT 16
2 : 0
Sasel
13 Sept
Sasel
0 : 3
Niendorfer TSV
06 Sept
Paloma
3 : 2
Sasel
30 Aug
Sasel
3 : 2
Tesla Hamburg
21 Aug
Eintracht Norderstedt II
0 : 3
Sasel
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Tesla Hamburg

(Away)
20 Sept
Tesla Hamburg
2 : 2
TSV Concordia
12 Sept
Teutonia Ottensen
1 : 3
Tesla Hamburg
06 Sept
Tesla Hamburg
0 : 1
Dassendorf
30 Aug
Sasel
3 : 2
Tesla Hamburg
23 Aug
Tesla Hamburg
0 : 4
Suderelbe
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