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Sasova vs TJ Jednota Malinec

Slovakia Slovakia

Slovak Cup 2020/2021
Thu, Sep 17, 2020
1 - 0
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sasova play TJ Jednota Malinec in the Slovak Cup 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sasova averaged 1.27 goals scored and 2.45 conceded. TJ Jednota Malinec averaged 1.83 goals scored and 2.08 conceded. In past meetings, Sasova won 1, TJ Jednota Malinec won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 17, 2020 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Sasova and 1.63 for TJ Jednota Malinec. This points to a Sasova double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Sasova
15%
Draws
37%
TJ Jednota Malinec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sasova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Sasova picked up more points recently compared to TJ Jednota Malinec.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Sasova Clean Sheet 14%
TJ Jednota Malinec Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sasova TJ Jednota Malinec
Matches Played 11 12
Wins 6 7
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.27 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.45 2.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2020 Slovak Cup
Sasova vs TJ Jednota Malinec
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sasova 46 / 100
TJ Jednota Malinec 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sasova TJ Jednota Malinec

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sasova or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sasova attacking → ← attacking TJ Jednota Malinec

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sasova scored in 80% of their last 10 games.

TJ Jednota Malinec let in goals in 75% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Sasova went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

TJ Jednota Malinec lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 21
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75