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Sassari Torres vs Sambenedettese Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Vanni Sanna, Sassari
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Sub
Nicoli S. In: Machin J.
Out: Nicoli S.
45'
Zini A.
46'
Sub
Faggioli A. In: Pezzola L.
Out: Faggioli A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B game between Sassari Torres and Sambenedettese finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sassari Torres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Sassari Torres
30%
Draws
8%
Sambenedettese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sassari Torres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sassari Torres come out ahead of Sambenedettese on wins alone.
  • Sassari Torres are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Sassari Torres Clean Sheet 68%
Sambenedettese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sassari Torres Sambenedettese
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 6
Draws 10 8
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Sassari Torres vs Sambenedettese
1:0
Feb 15, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Sambenedettese vs Sassari Torres
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Sassari Torres vs Sambenedettese
0:2
Mar 9, 2003 Lega Pro C1/B
Sambenedettese vs Sassari Torres
2:2
Oct 26, 2002 Lega Pro C1/B
Sassari Torres vs Sambenedettese
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sassari Torres Compare

Top Goalscorer Carboni M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sambenedettese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sassari Torres 68 / 100
Sambenedettese 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sassari Torres Sambenedettese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sassari Torres Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sassari Torres's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sambenedettese conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Sassari Torres went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sassari Torres VS Sambenedettese
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sassari Torres

(Home)
26 Sept
Sassari Torres
0 : 0
Vado
19 Sept
Forli FC
1 : 1
Sassari Torres
16 Sept
Sassari Torres
2 : 1
Pianese
13 Sept
Sassari Torres
3 : 2
Ostiamare
06 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Sassari Torres
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Sambenedettese

(Away)
26 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2
Campobasso
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1
Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3
Atalanta U23
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1
Sambenedettese
06 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2
Spezia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 7 6 1 0 14:4 19
2 Ravenna 7 5 2 0 12:2 17
3 Grosseto 7 4 3 0 13:4 15
4 Reggiana 7 4 2 1 12:6 14
5 Livorno 7 4 2 1 10:8 14
6 Campobasso 7 3 2 2 11:10 11
7 Sassari Torres 7 3 2 2 8:8 11
8 Forli FC 7 2 4 1 13:11 10
9 Perugia 7 3 1 3 6:11 10
10 Guidonia 1937 7 2 3 2 9:7 9
11 Atalanta U23 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
12 Pescara 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
13 Ostiamare 7 2 1 4 8:9 7
14 Gubbio 7 2 1 4 9:13 7
15 Pineto 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
16 Latina 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
17 Vado 7 1 2 4 5:8 5
18 Vis Pesaro 7 1 1 5 8:16 4
19 Pianese 7 0 3 4 4:9 3
20 Sambenedettese 7 0 2 5 8:13 2
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)