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Sasso Marconi vs Sangiuliano City

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Marra N.
(Penalty)
47' Event
Saggionetto N.
49' Event
Leonardi L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D game between Sasso Marconi and Sangiuliano City finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sasso Marconi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sasso Marconi
33%
Draws
27%
Sangiuliano City
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sasso Marconi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Sangiuliano City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sasso Marconi are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Sasso Marconi Clean Sheet 68%
Sangiuliano City Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sasso Marconi Sangiuliano City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Sangiuliano City
3:1
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Sangiuliano City vs Sasso Marconi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sasso Marconi Compare

Top Goalscorer Leonardi L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Prasso N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sangiuliano City Compare

Top Goalscorer Saggionetto N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sasso Marconi 50 / 100
Sangiuliano City 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sasso Marconi Sangiuliano City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Sasso Marconi found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Sangiuliano City let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Sasso Marconi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sasso Marconi VS Sangiuliano City
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sasso Marconi

(Home)
10 May
Imolese
0 : 2
Sasso Marconi
03 May
SCD Progresso
4 : 1
Sasso Marconi
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1
Imolese
19 Apr
Sasso Marconi
2 : 1
Rovato Vertovese
12 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 0
Sasso Marconi
Page 1 of 6

Sangiuliano City

(Away)
03 May
Sangiuliano City
0 : 5
Desenzano Calvina
26 Apr
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 0
Sangiuliano City
19 Apr
Sangiuliano City
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
12 Apr
Crema
0 : 2
Sangiuliano City
02 Apr
Sangiuliano City
3 : 3
Tropical Coriano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desenzano Calvina34238360:2177
2Lentigione34227551:2373
3Pistoiese342011361:2271
4Piacenza34197860:3564
5Pro Palazzolo34169944:3157
6Pro Sesto341510945:3055
7Cittadella Vis Modena341510935:2955
8Rovato Vertovese3414101035:2952
9Sangiuliano City341481241:4547
10SCD Progresso341091538:4239
11Sant'Angelo341091538:5139
12Correggese349121335:3639
13Crema349111435:4738
14Imolese348101628:4734
15Sasso Marconi34871933:4931
16Tropical Coriano347101729:4531
17Trevigliese34582131:6223
18Tuttocuoio34082618:738
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)