Sport Picks
Sasso Marconi vs SCD Progresso
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 
Match Events
14'
14'
Calabrese A.
47'
47'
Belcastro L.
55'
55'
Marra N.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Sasso Marconi and SCD Progresso finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SCD Progresso.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SCD Progresso
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Sasso Marconi haven't matched SCD Progresso's recent run of results.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on SCD Progresso taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Sasso Marconi Clean Sheet 21%
SCD Progresso Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sasso Marconi | SCD Progresso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group D
SCD Progresso vs Sasso Marconi
4:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs SCD Progresso
2:3
Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs SCD Progresso
1:1
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group D
SCD Progresso vs Sasso Marconi
1:3
Apr 30, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs SCD Progresso
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sasso Marconi Compare
Top Goalscorer Marra N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Leonardi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
SCD Progresso Compare
Top Goalscorer Calabrese A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Belcastro L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sasso Marconi 20 / 100
SCD Progresso 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sasso Marconi SCD Progresso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SCD Progresso Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: Sasso Marconi scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
SCD Progresso let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Sasso Marconi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sasso Marconi VS SCD Progresso
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sasso Marconi
(Home) 10 May
Imolese
0 : 2 Sasso Marconi
03 May
SCD Progresso
4 : 1 Sasso Marconi
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1 Imolese
19 Apr
Sasso Marconi
2 : 1 Rovato Vertovese
12 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 0 Sasso Marconi
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1 Imolese
19 Apr
Sasso Marconi
2 : 1 Rovato Vertovese
02 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 2 Lentigione
22 Mar
Sasso Marconi
2 : 1 Tuttocuoio
01 Mar
Sasso Marconi
0 : 2 Correggese
Page 1 of 3
SCD Progresso
(Away) 03 May
SCD Progresso
4 : 1 Sasso Marconi
26 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1 SCD Progresso
19 Apr
Lentigione
1 : 2 SCD Progresso
12 Apr
SCD Progresso
1 : 1 Correggese
02 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 2 SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1 SCD Progresso
19 Apr
Lentigione
1 : 2 SCD Progresso
02 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 2 SCD Progresso
22 Mar
Piacenza
3 : 0 SCD Progresso
28 Feb
Pistoiese
1 : 0 SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)
