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Sasso Marconi vs Tuttocuoio Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Leonardi L.
38' Event
Own Goal
65' Event
Galassi L.

AI Match Summary

Sasso Marconi in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sasso Marconi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Sasso Marconi
20%
Draws
16%
Tuttocuoio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sasso Marconi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sasso Marconi lately — more wins on the board than Tuttocuoio.
  • Win probability leans Sasso Marconi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sasso Marconi Clean Sheet 68%
Tuttocuoio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sasso Marconi Tuttocuoio
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 0
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 1.1 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Tuttocuoio
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Tuttocuoio vs Sasso Marconi
0:1
Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Tuttocuoio
0:2
Oct 30, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Tuttocuoio vs Sasso Marconi
1:0
Mar 14, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Tuttocuoio
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sasso Marconi Compare

Top Goalscorer Leonardi L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Galassi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Tuttocuoio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sasso Marconi 95 / 100
Tuttocuoio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sasso Marconi Tuttocuoio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sasso Marconi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuttocuoio has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Sasso Marconi found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Tuttocuoio's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sasso Marconi VS Tuttocuoio
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Sasso Marconi

(Home)
27 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 1
Sasso Marconi
20 Sept
Sasso Marconi
0 : 1
Prato
16 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 2
Sasso Marconi
13 Sept
Sasso Marconi
1 : 3
San Donato Tavarnelle
06 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 2
Sasso Marconi
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Tuttocuoio

(Away)
03 May
Tuttocuoio
3 : 3
Trevigliese
26 Apr
Pro Sesto
2 : 0
Tuttocuoio
19 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 1
Sant'Angelo
12 Apr
Lentigione
1 : 0
Tuttocuoio
02 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 2
SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)