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Sasso Marconi vs Vigor Carpaneto Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Draghetti G.
45' Event
Grazhdani A.
90' Event
Mastrototaro D.

AI Match Summary

Sasso Marconi in this Serie D - Group D 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sasso Marconi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Sasso Marconi
30%
Draws
51%
Vigor Carpaneto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vigor Carpaneto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Vigor Carpaneto average 1.4 goals a game right now, well clear of Sasso Marconi's 1.17.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Sasso Marconi Clean Sheet 20%
Vigor Carpaneto Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sasso Marconi Vigor Carpaneto
Matches Played 29 20
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Vigor Carpaneto
3:2
Sep 8, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Vigor Carpaneto vs Sasso Marconi
1:1
Jan 13, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Vigor Carpaneto
0:1
Sep 23, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Vigor Carpaneto vs Sasso Marconi
2:0
Mar 25, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Vigor Carpaneto vs Sasso Marconi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sasso Marconi Compare

Top Goalscorer Draghetti G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grazhdani A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Vigor Carpaneto Compare

Top Goalscorer Mastrototaro D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barba S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sasso Marconi 32 / 100
Vigor Carpaneto 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sasso Marconi Vigor Carpaneto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vigor Carpaneto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vigor Carpaneto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 20 matches.

Sasso Marconi's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Sasso Marconi remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sasso Marconi VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sasso Marconi

(Home)
27 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 1
Sasso Marconi
20 Sept
Sasso Marconi
0 : 1
Prato
16 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 2
Sasso Marconi
13 Sept
Sasso Marconi
1 : 3
San Donato Tavarnelle
06 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 2
Sasso Marconi
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Vigor Carpaneto

(Away)
16 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Correggese
09 Feb
Crema
1 : 2
Vigor Carpaneto
02 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Fiorenzuola
26 Jan
Mantova
1 : 1
Vigor Carpaneto
19 Jan
Vigor Carpaneto
1 : 1
Mezzolara
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