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Sasso Marconi vs Villabiagio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 game between Sasso Marconi and Villabiagio finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sasso Marconi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sasso Marconi
39%
Draws
31%
Villabiagio
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Sasso Marconi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sasso Marconi Clean Sheet 18%
Villabiagio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sasso Marconi Villabiagio
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Villabiagio
2:0
Nov 1, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Villabiagio vs Sasso Marconi
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sasso Marconi 31 / 100
Villabiagio 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sasso Marconi Villabiagio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Sasso Marconi found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (39 games).

Defensive concern: Villabiagio conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sasso Marconi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sasso Marconi VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sasso Marconi

(Home)
10 May
Imolese
0 : 2
Sasso Marconi
03 May
SCD Progresso
4 : 1
Sasso Marconi
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1
Imolese
19 Apr
Sasso Marconi
2 : 1
Rovato Vertovese
12 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 0
Sasso Marconi
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Villabiagio

(Away)
06 May
Colligiana
2 : 3
Villabiagio
29 Apr
Villabiagio
0 : 0
Imolese
22 Apr
Lentigione
4 : 0
Villabiagio
15 Apr
Villabiagio
2 : 2
Sammaurese
08 Apr
Vigor Carpaneto
1 : 1
Villabiagio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rimini382311465:3880
2Imolese38218972:4571
3Forli FC381811960:4365
4Fiorenzuola381616650:3264
5Sangiovannese3817101142:3861
6Lentigione3816121045:3360
7Villabiagio381781352:4959
8Pianese381416854:3558
9Montevarchi381681442:4056
10Romagna Centro3814121249:4254
11Sammaurese3814121234:2954
12Sasso Marconi3811121535:4845
13Vigor Carpaneto389181150:4845
14Tuttocuoio3810121625:3442
15Sporting Trestina3810111736:5241
16Castelvetro381082046:6238
17Mezzolara387151634:5036
18Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro387121940:6233
19Correggese386141837:5532
20Colligiana38782327:6029
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 (Play Offs)