Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sassuolo U19 vs Fiorentina U19

Italy Italy

Supercoppa Primavera 2024 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Elia M.
Own Goal
86' Event
Moriano A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Sassuolo U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Sassuolo U19
20%
Draws
23%
Fiorentina U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sassuolo U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sassuolo U19 come out ahead of Fiorentina U19 on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Sassuolo U19 taking it.
  • Sassuolo U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sassuolo U19, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • History favors Sassuolo U19 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Sassuolo U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Fiorentina U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sassuolo U19 Fiorentina U19
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.28 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2024 Supercoppa Primavera
Sassuolo U19 vs Fiorentina U19
2:0
May 12, 2024 Primavera 1
Sassuolo U19 vs Fiorentina U19
3:1
Dec 2, 2023 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U19 vs Sassuolo U19
0:1
Apr 1, 2023 Viareggio Cup
Fiorentina U19 vs Sassuolo U19
1:3
Mar 4, 2023 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U19 vs Sassuolo U19
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sassuolo U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moriano A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Fiorentina U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sassuolo U19 84 / 100
Fiorentina U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sassuolo U19 Fiorentina U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sassuolo U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sassuolo U19's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Fiorentina U19 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sassuolo U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sassuolo U19 VS Fiorentina U19
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sassuolo U19

(Home)
11 Dec
Sassuolo U19
1 : 1
Betis U19
27 Nov
Betis U19
3 : 1
Sassuolo U19
06 Nov
Sassuolo U19
4 : 0
BFC Daugavpils U19
23 Oct
BFC Daugavpils U19
0 : 5
Sassuolo U19
20 Aug
Sassuolo U19
2 : 0
Fiorentina U19
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Fiorentina U19

(Away)
05 Nov
Fiorentina U19
3 : 2
Legia U19
22 Oct
Legia U19
4 : 1
Fiorentina U19
20 Aug
Sassuolo U19
2 : 0
Fiorentina U19
14 Jul
Fiorentina
5 : 2
Fiorentina U19
17 May
Fiorentina U19
2 : 2
Sampdoria U19
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Sassuolo U19 2
Fiorentina U19 0