Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sassuolo vs Bologna

Italy Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Dallinga T.
24'
Dallinga T.
28'
Sub
De Silvestri L. In: Zortea N.
Out: De Silvestri L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A 2025/2026 game between Sassuolo and Bologna finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bologna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sassuolo
40%
Draws
29%
Bologna
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Bologna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sassuolo Clean Sheet 16%
Bologna Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sassuolo Bologna
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Bologna
0:1
Dec 28, 2025 Serie A
Bologna vs Sassuolo
1:1
Feb 3, 2024 Serie A
Bologna vs Sassuolo
4:2
Oct 28, 2023 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Bologna
1:1
May 8, 2023 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Bologna
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sassuolo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bologna Compare

Top Goalscorer Dallinga T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sassuolo 31 / 100
Bologna 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sassuolo Bologna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sassuolo scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Bologna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Sassuolo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sassuolo VS Bologna
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sassuolo

(Home)
31 Jul
Sassuolo
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
25 Jul
Trento
2 : 0
Sassuolo
25 Jul
Sassuolo
0 : 1
Parma
22 Jul
Sassuolo
4 : 1
Padova
24 May
Parma
1 : 0
Sassuolo
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Bologna

(Away)
01 Aug
Bologna
3 : 1
Cambuur
01 Aug
Bologna
3 : 1
Cambuur
25 Jul
Bologna
2 : 0
Iraklis FC
22 Jul
Bologna
1 : 1
Heidenheim
18 Jul
Bologna
0 : 4
Arminia Bielefeld
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 38 27 6 5 89:35 87
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 58:36 76
3 AS Roma 38 23 4 11 59:31 73
4 Como 38 20 11 7 65:29 71
5 AC Milan 38 20 10 8 53:35 70
6 Juventus 38 19 12 7 61:34 69
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 51:36 59
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 49:46 56
9 Lazio 38 14 12 12 41:40 54
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 45:48 50
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 46:50 49
12 Torino 38 12 9 17 44:63 45
13 Parma 38 11 12 15 28:46 45
14 Cagliari 38 11 10 17 40:53 43
15 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 41:50 42
16 Genoa 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Lecce 38 10 8 20 28:50 38
18 Cremonese 38 8 10 20 32:57 34
19 Verona 38 3 12 23 25:61 21
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 26:71 18
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)