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Sassuolo vs Celta Vigo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Aspas I.
57' Event
Bakola D.
76'
Lauriente A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Sassuolo and Celta Vigo finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celta Vigo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sassuolo
30%
Draws
41%
Celta Vigo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Celta Vigo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sassuolo come out ahead of Celta Vigo on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sassuolo Clean Sheet 19%
Celta Vigo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sassuolo Celta Vigo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.46 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Sassuolo vs Celta Vigo
1:4
Aug 10, 2016 Trofeo TIM
Celta Vigo vs Sassuolo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sassuolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakola D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Celta Vigo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez H.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Aspas I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sassuolo 32 / 100
Celta Vigo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sassuolo Celta Vigo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sassuolo found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Celta Vigo conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Sassuolo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sassuolo VS Celta Vigo
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sassuolo

(Home)
16 Oct
Frosinone
4 : 2
Sassuolo
11 Oct
Sassuolo
1 : 1
AC Milan
18 Sept
Monza
2 : 1
Sassuolo
13 Sept
Sassuolo
3 : 2
Juventus
06 Sept
Bologna
2 : 2
Sassuolo
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Celta Vigo

(Away)
18 Oct
Celta Vigo
2 : 1
Alaves
15 Oct
Celta Vigo
1 : 2
Juventus
11 Oct
Elche
0 : 0
Celta Vigo
19 Sept
Celta Vigo
5 : 0
Racing Santander
16 Sept
Omonia
1 : 0
Celta Vigo
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