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Stadium Background

Sassuolo vs Cesena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Sub
Piacentini M. In: Ilic M.
Out: Piacentini M.
13' Event
Volpato C.
Assist: Cinquegrano S.
45' Event
Adzic V.
Assist: Doig J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Sassuolo
30%
Draws
58%
Cesena
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cesena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sassuolo lately — more wins on the board than Cesena.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Cesena taking it.
  • Sassuolo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sassuolo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sassuolo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sassuolo Clean Sheet 11%
Cesena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sassuolo Cesena
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 13
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Coppa Italia
Sassuolo vs Cesena
3:0
Apr 25, 2025 Serie B
Cesena vs Sassuolo
0:2
Aug 24, 2024 Serie B
Sassuolo vs Cesena
2:1
Jan 18, 2017 Coppa Italia
Sassuolo vs Cesena
1:2
May 10, 2015 Serie A
Cesena vs Sassuolo
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sassuolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Volpato C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adzic V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Cesena Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sassuolo 22 / 100
Cesena 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sassuolo Cesena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cesena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Sassuolo found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Cesena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Sassuolo remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sassuolo VS Cesena
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sassuolo

(Home)
02 Nov
Sassuolo
2 : 4
Fiorentina
27 Oct
Sassuolo
2 : 6
Lazio
24 Oct
Como
2 : 0
Sassuolo
16 Oct
Frosinone
4 : 2
Sassuolo
11 Oct
Sassuolo
1 : 1
AC Milan
Page 1 of 6

Cesena

(Away)
31 Oct
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Cesena
27 Oct
Cesena
2 : 1
Empoli
24 Oct
Modena
3 : 0
Cesena
18 Oct
Cesena
1 : 1
Avellino
10 Oct
Benevento
2 : 0
Cesena
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa -
TBD -
Ascoli 3
Potenza 1
Catanzaro -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudtirol -
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
Mantova -
Lecce -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo -
Torino -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrarese -
Monza -
TBD -
TBD -
Avellino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Sampdoria -
Vicenza 1
Catania 2
TBD -
Parma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari -
TBD -
Arezzo 2
Union Brescia 0
Verona -
TBD -
TBD -
Entella -
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena -
Frosinone -
TBD -
TBD -
Juve Stabia -
Udinese -
TBD -
TBD -
Padova -
Venezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Modena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli -
Benevento 5
Ravenna 3
TBD -
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/32-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa 4
Ascoli 1
Catanzaro 2
Sudtirol 3
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio 0
Mantova 2
Lecce 0
Palermo 2
Torino 1
Carrarese 0
Monza 3
Avellino 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese 2
Sampdoria 0
Catania 0
Parma 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari 1
Arezzo 0
Verona 3
Entella 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo 3
Cesena 0
Frosinone 4
Juve Stabia 1
Udinese 1
Padova 0
Venezia 3
Modena 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa 2
Empoli 1
Benevento 1
Fiorentina 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/16-finals
Inter -
TBD -
Genoa 1
Sudtirol 0
Bologna -
TBD -
Mantova 2
Palermo 5
Torino 0
Monza 1
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese 2
Parma 0
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
Cagliari 1
Verona 2
Juventus -
TBD -
Sassuolo 2
Frosinone 1
Udinese 2
Venezia 1
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa 0
Fiorentina 3
TBD -
Napoli -
1/8-finals
Inter -
Genoa -
Bologna -
Palermo -
Monza -
AC Milan -
Cremonese -
Como -
AS Roma -
Verona -
Juventus -
Sassuolo -
Udinese -
Atalanta -
Fiorentina -
Napoli -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -