Sport Picks
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie A Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia 
Match Events
25'
25'
Lauriente A.
Assist: Esposito Se.
40'
40'
Sulemana I.
42'
42'
Dragusin R.
AI Match Summary
The Serie A game between Sassuolo and Fiorentina finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fiorentina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
20%
64%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fiorentina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Sassuolo haven't matched Fiorentina's recent run of results.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Fiorentina taking it.
- Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Sassuolo Clean Sheet 10%
Fiorentina Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sassuolo | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 2, 2026 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina
2:4
Apr 26, 2026 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Sassuolo
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina
3:1
Apr 28, 2024 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Sassuolo
5:1
Jan 6, 2024 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sassuolo Compare
Top Goalscorer Lauriente A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Fiorentina Compare
Top Goalscorer Pellegrino M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Njie A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sassuolo 14 / 100
Fiorentina 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sassuolo Fiorentina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fiorentina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Sassuolo scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Fiorentina conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Fiorentina lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sassuolo VS Fiorentina
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sassuolo
(Home) 02 Nov
Sassuolo
2 : 4 Fiorentina
27 Oct
Sassuolo
2 : 6 Lazio
24 Oct
Como
2 : 0 Sassuolo
16 Oct
Frosinone
4 : 2 Sassuolo
11 Oct
Sassuolo
1 : 1 AC Milan
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02 Nov
Sassuolo
2 : 4 Fiorentina
27 Oct
Sassuolo
2 : 6 Lazio
11 Oct
Sassuolo
1 : 1 AC Milan
13 Sept
Sassuolo
3 : 2 Juventus
02 Sept
Sassuolo
2 : 1 Frosinone
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Fiorentina
(Away) 02 Nov
Sassuolo
2 : 4 Fiorentina
29 Oct
Fiorentina
2 : 2 Atalanta
25 Oct
Inter
2 : 1 Fiorentina
18 Oct
Fiorentina
1 : 3 Como
10 Oct
Genoa
2 : 1 Fiorentina
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02 Nov
Sassuolo
2 : 4 Fiorentina
25 Oct
Inter
2 : 1 Fiorentina
10 Oct
Genoa
2 : 1 Fiorentina
11 Sept
Venezia
2 : 4 Fiorentina
24 Aug
AS Roma
4 : 0 Fiorentina
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 | Napoli | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 | Bologna | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 | Torino | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 | Lecce | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 | Parma | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 | Udinese | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 | Venezia | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
