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Sassuolo vs Genoa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sassuolo host Genoa in the Serie A. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Sassuolo at 1.38 goals for, 1.79 against; Genoa at 1.03 for, 1.48 against. Head-to-head, Sassuolo have won 0 to Genoa's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.88, favoring Genoa. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Sassuolo
15%
Draws
78%
Genoa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Genoa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Genoa lately — more wins on the board than Sassuolo.
  • Genoa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Genoa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sassuolo Clean Sheet 10%
Genoa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sassuolo Genoa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie A
Genoa vs Sassuolo
2:1
Nov 3, 2025 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Genoa
1:2
May 12, 2024 Serie A
Genoa vs Sassuolo
2:1
Dec 22, 2023 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Genoa
1:2
Jan 6, 2022 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Genoa
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sassuolo 10 / 100
Genoa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sassuolo Genoa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genoa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sassuolo's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Genoa conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Sassuolo has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sassuolo VS Genoa
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sassuolo

(Home)
02 Nov
Sassuolo
2 : 4
Fiorentina
27 Oct
Sassuolo
2 : 6
Lazio
24 Oct
Como
2 : 0
Sassuolo
16 Oct
Frosinone
4 : 2
Sassuolo
11 Oct
Sassuolo
1 : 1
AC Milan
Page 1 of 6

Genoa

(Away)
01 Nov
Lecce
1 : 2
Genoa
28 Oct
Genoa
2 : 0
Juventus
25 Oct
Genoa
1 : 0
Venezia
17 Oct
AS Roma
2 : 0
Genoa
10 Oct
Genoa
2 : 1
Fiorentina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lazio 10 9 1 0 24:8 28
2 Inter 10 8 1 1 26:13 25
3 AS Roma 10 7 3 0 28:10 24
4 Como 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
5 AC Milan 10 6 3 1 21:12 21
6 Frosinone 10 6 2 2 24:14 20
7 Juventus 10 5 2 3 13:10 17
8 Napoli 10 4 2 4 17:13 14
9 Bologna 10 4 2 4 14:13 14
10 Torino 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
11 Genoa 10 4 1 5 10:14 13
12 Cagliari 10 4 1 5 9:15 13
13 Atalanta 10 3 2 5 16:20 11
14 Lecce 10 3 0 7 11:21 9
15 Parma 10 2 2 6 8:15 8
16 Fiorentina 10 2 2 6 15:23 8
17 Sassuolo 10 2 2 6 16:26 8
18 Monza 10 2 1 7 17:24 7
19 Udinese 10 1 2 7 11:23 5
20 Venezia 10 1 0 9 6:20 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)