Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sassuolo vs Juventus

Italy Italy

Serie A Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Lucumi J.
46'
Sub
Lucumi J. In: Kelly L.
Out: Lucumi J.
48'
Lipani L.

AI Match Summary

Sassuolo in this Serie A matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sassuolo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sassuolo
20%
Draws
40%
Juventus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sassuolo haven't matched Juventus's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sassuolo's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sassuolo Clean Sheet 16%
Juventus Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sassuolo Juventus
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.47 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Juventus
3:2
Mar 21, 2026 Serie A
Juventus vs Sassuolo
1:1
Jan 6, 2026 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Juventus
0:3
Jan 16, 2024 Serie A
Juventus vs Sassuolo
3:0
Sep 23, 2023 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Juventus
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sassuolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Esposito Se.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bowie K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Juventus Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhegrova E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sassuolo 41 / 100
Juventus 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sassuolo Juventus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Sassuolo scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Sassuolo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Juventus has conceded goals in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sassuolo VS Juventus
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sassuolo

(Home)
18 Sept
Monza
2 : 1
Sassuolo
13 Sept
Sassuolo
3 : 2
Juventus
06 Sept
Bologna
2 : 2
Sassuolo
02 Sept
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Frosinone
29 Aug
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Torino
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Juventus

(Away)
20 Sept
Juventus
2 : 0
Atalanta
17 Sept
Juventus
5 : 0
Nijmegen
13 Sept
Sassuolo
3 : 2
Juventus
06 Sept
Juventus
1 : 1
AC Milan
29 Aug
Juventus
2 : 0
Parma
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Inter 5 4 1 0 15:8 13
3 Lazio 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5:2 12
5 AC Milan 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
7 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
8 Como 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
9 Napoli 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
11 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
12 Lecce 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
13 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
14 Torino 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
15 Parma 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Fiorentina 5 1 1 3 6:12 4
18 Bologna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Genoa 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)