Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sassuolo vs Lecce Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Cheddira W.
20' Event
Lauriente A.
Assist: Pedro Felipe
25' Event
Cheddira W.
Assist: Banda L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A 2025/2026 game between Sassuolo and Lecce finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lecce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Sassuolo
15%
Draws
32%
Lecce
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sassuolo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Sassuolo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sassuolo a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sassuolo Clean Sheet 68%
Lecce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sassuolo Lecce
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.47 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Lecce
2:3
Oct 18, 2025 Serie A
Lecce vs Sassuolo
0:0
Sep 24, 2024 Coppa Italia
Lecce vs Sassuolo
0:2
Apr 21, 2024 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Lecce
0:3
Oct 6, 2023 Serie A
Lecce vs Sassuolo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sassuolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lauriente A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pinamonti A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Lecce Compare

Top Goalscorer Cheddira W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stulic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sassuolo 95 / 100
Lecce 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sassuolo Lecce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sassuolo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sassuolo found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Lecce has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Sassuolo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sassuolo VS Lecce
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sassuolo

(Home)
18 Sept
Monza
2 : 1
Sassuolo
13 Sept
Sassuolo
3 : 2
Juventus
06 Sept
Bologna
2 : 2
Sassuolo
02 Sept
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Frosinone
29 Aug
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Torino
Page 1 of 6

Lecce

(Away)
20 Sept
AC Milan
3 : 0
Lecce
13 Sept
Lecce
3 : 2
Monza
07 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 0
Lecce
31 Aug
Lecce
0 : 4
AS Roma
23 Aug
Venezia
0 : 2
Lecce
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 38 27 6 5 89:35 87
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 58:36 76
3 AS Roma 38 23 4 11 59:31 73
4 Como 38 20 11 7 65:29 71
5 AC Milan 38 20 10 8 53:35 70
6 Juventus 38 19 12 7 61:34 69
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 51:36 59
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 49:46 56
9 Lazio 38 14 12 12 41:40 54
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 45:48 50
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 46:50 49
12 Torino 38 12 9 17 44:63 45
13 Parma 38 11 12 15 28:46 45
14 Cagliari 38 11 10 17 40:53 43
15 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 41:50 42
16 Genoa 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Lecce 38 10 8 20 28:50 38
18 Cremonese 38 8 10 20 32:57 34
19 Verona 38 3 12 23 25:61 21
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 26:71 18
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)