Sport Picks

Italy

Serie A Women Stadio Enzo Ricci

Genoa W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sassuolo W play Genoa W in the Serie A Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sassuolo W averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Genoa W averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Sassuolo W won 1, Genoa W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Sassuolo W and 1.38 for Genoa W. This points to a Sassuolo W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Sassuolo W

22%

Draws

27%

Genoa W

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sassuolo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Sassuolo W picked up more points recently compared to Genoa W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Sassuolo W Clean Sheet 17%

Genoa W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sassuolo W	Genoa W
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	5
Draws	7	6
Losses	15	19
Goals Scored	0.97	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.6	1.8
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Serie A Women

Sassuolo W vs Genoa W

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Dec 14, 2025 Serie A Women

Genoa W vs Sassuolo W

Possession: 43% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sassuolo W 49 / 100

Genoa W 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sassuolo W Genoa W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sassuolo W or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sassuolo W attacking → ← attacking Genoa W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sassuolo W scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Genoa W let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Sassuolo W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Genoa W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 21

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma W	22	17	4	1	44:19	55
2	Inter W	22	13	5	4	49:26	44
3	Juventus W	22	11	6	5	33:19	39
4	Fiorentina W	22	10	6	6	33:30	36
5	Lazio W	22	10	3	9	31:30	33
6	AC Milan W	22	9	5	8	31:26	32
7	Napoli W	22	8	8	6	30:25	32
8	Como W	22	8	6	8	24:22	30
9	Sassuolo W	22	4	6	12	17:34	18
10	Ternana W	22	4	5	13	19:40	17
11	Parma W	22	2	10	10	16:31	16
12	Genoa W	22	2	4	16	18:43	10