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Sassuolo W vs Napoli W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Women Stadio Enzo Ricci, Sassuolo
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sassuolo W host Napoli W in the Serie A Women. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Sassuolo W at 0.97 goals for, 1.83 against; Napoli W at 1.34 for, 1.55 against. Head-to-head, Sassuolo W have won 2 to Napoli W's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.44, favoring Napoli W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Sassuolo W
15%
Draws
28%
Napoli W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sassuolo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sassuolo W haven't matched Napoli W's recent run of results.
  • Sassuolo W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie A Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sassuolo W Clean Sheet 16%
Napoli W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sassuolo W Napoli W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie A Women
Napoli W vs Sassuolo W
1:1
Jan 25, 2026 Serie A Women
Sassuolo W vs Napoli W
0:2
Dec 20, 2025 Coppa Italia Women
Napoli W vs Sassuolo W
3:1
Apr 13, 2025 Serie A Women
Napoli W vs Sassuolo W
0:1
Mar 2, 2025 Serie A Women
Sassuolo W vs Napoli W
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sassuolo W 48 / 100
Napoli W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sassuolo W Napoli W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sassuolo W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sassuolo W found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Napoli W let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Napoli W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sassuolo W VS Napoli W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sassuolo W

(Home)
03 Oct
Fiorentina W
2 : 0
Sassuolo W
27 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 3
AS Roma W
20 Sept
Moncalieri W
1 : 2
Sassuolo W
13 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 7
AS Roma W
05 Sept
Sassuolo W
2 : 0
Ternana W
Page 1 of 6

Napoli W

(Away)
04 Oct
Napoli W
1 : 2
Como 1907 W
26 Sept
Juventus W
3 : 1
Napoli W
06 Sept
Napoli W
1 : 0
Parma W
30 Aug
Inter W
6 : 0
Napoli W
23 Aug
Lazio W
4 : 2
Napoli W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Inter W 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
3 Como 1907 W 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
4 Como W 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
5 AC Milan W 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
6 Fiorentina W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Juventus W 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
8 Ternana W 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
9 Parma W 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
10 Lazio W 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
11 Napoli W 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
12 Sassuolo W 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Relegation - Serie B Women 2027/2028 (Main)