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Sassuolo W vs Parma W

Italy Italy

Serie A Women 2025/2026 Stadio Enzo Ricci, Sassuolo
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Sub
Gunnlaugsdottir A. In: Dominguez L.
Out: Gunnlaugsdottir A.
43'
Uffren M.
50'
Venturelli C.

AI Match Summary

Sassuolo W in this Serie A Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sassuolo W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sassuolo W
39%
Draws
31%
Parma W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sassuolo W lately — more wins on the board than Parma W.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie A Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sassuolo W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Sassuolo W Clean Sheet 68%
Parma W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sassuolo W Parma W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 4
Draws 7 12
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Serie A Women
Sassuolo W vs Parma W
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 Serie A Women
Parma W vs Sassuolo W
2:1
Oct 11, 2023 Coppa Italia Women
Parma W vs Sassuolo W
0:1
May 6, 2023 Serie A Women
Sassuolo W vs Parma W
5:4
Mar 26, 2023 Serie A Women
Parma W vs Sassuolo W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sassuolo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Philtjens D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Parma W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sassuolo W 41 / 100
Parma W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sassuolo W Parma W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sassuolo W scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Parma W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sassuolo W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sassuolo W VS Parma W
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sassuolo W

(Home)
17 May
Napoli W
1 : 1
Sassuolo W
10 May
Sassuolo W
0 : 3
AS Roma W
02 May
Sassuolo W
0 : 0
Genoa W
25 Apr
Lazio W
0 : 3
Sassuolo W
03 Apr
Sassuolo W
0 : 3
AC Milan W
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Parma W

(Away)
17 May
Parma W
1 : 3
Juventus W
10 May
AC Milan W
3 : 1
Parma W
03 May
Parma W
1 : 3
Lazio W
25 Apr
Como W
1 : 1
Parma W
04 Apr
Parma W
2 : 0
Ternana W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Roma W22174144:1955
2Inter W22135449:2644
3Juventus W22116533:1939
4Fiorentina W22106633:3036
5Lazio W22103931:3033
6AC Milan W2295831:2632
7Napoli W2288630:2532
8Como W2286824:2230
9Sassuolo W22461217:3418
10Ternana W22451319:4017
11Parma W222101016:3116
12Genoa W22241618:4310
Promotion - Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)