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SAT Tirur vs NEROCA

India India

I-League 2 2024/2025
SAT Tirur Logo

SAT Tirur

5 - 2
FT
NEROCA Logo

NEROCA

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Senthamizhi S.
19' Event
Nawab A.
36' Event
P A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SAT Tirur in this I-League 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SAT Tirur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
SAT Tirur
30%
Draws
29%
NEROCA
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SAT Tirur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SAT Tirur lately — more wins on the board than NEROCA.
  • Win probability leans SAT Tirur's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular I-League 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
SAT Tirur Clean Sheet 13%
NEROCA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SAT Tirur NEROCA
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 I-League 2
NEROCA vs SAT Tirur
0:1
Feb 12, 2025 I-League 2
SAT Tirur vs NEROCA
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SAT Tirur Compare

Top Goalscorer Nawab A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Senthamizhi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

NEROCA Compare

Top Goalscorer Singh K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Meitei C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SAT Tirur 48 / 100
NEROCA 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SAT Tirur NEROCA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAT Tirur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SAT Tirur scored in 83% of their last 24 outings.

Defensive concern: NEROCA conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: SAT Tirur stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SAT Tirur VS NEROCA
2 Goals Scored 1
2.33 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SAT Tirur

(Home)
25 Apr
SC Goa
2 : 3
SAT Tirur
19 Apr
SAT Tirur
2 : 3
TRAU FC
11 Apr
SAT Tirur
1 : 2
Diamond Harbour
03 Apr
SAT Tirur
1 : 1
Chanmari
29 Mar
KLASA
0 : 1
SAT Tirur
Page 1 of 5

NEROCA

(Away)
12 Aug
NEROCA
3 : 1
Raengdai
05 Aug
NEROCA
0 : 2
Indian Navy
28 Jul
TRAU FC
0 : 0
NEROCA
14 May
NEROCA
1 : 3
Sudeva Delhi
08 May
NEROCA
2 : 2
Karbi Anglong
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diamond Harbour 16 11 5 0 28:10 38
2 Chanmari 16 10 3 3 36:10 33
3 SC Goa 16 7 5 4 18:12 26
4 Bengaluru United 16 6 5 5 21:11 23
5 SAT Tirur 16 6 4 6 21:23 22
6 United SC 16 5 6 5 15:17 21
7 NEROCA 16 5 2 9 17:27 17
8 TRAU FC 16 3 3 10 14:30 12
9 KLASA 16 2 1 13 8:38 7
Promotion - I-League (Main)