Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saturn Ramenskoye vs Penza

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Gejtman N.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between Saturn Ramenskoye and Penza finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saturn Ramenskoye.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Saturn Ramenskoye
20%
Draws
35%
Penza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saturn Ramenskoye

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Saturn Ramenskoye carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Saturn Ramenskoye are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Saturn Ramenskoye Clean Sheet 68%
Penza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saturn Ramenskoye Penza
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 3
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.71 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Saturn Ramenskoye
1:1
Jun 6, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Saturn Ramenskoye vs Penza
1:0
Jul 29, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Saturn Ramenskoye
1:4
Oct 19, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Saturn Ramenskoye vs Penza
3:0
Aug 14, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Penza vs Saturn Ramenskoye
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saturn Ramenskoye Compare

Top Goalscorer Gejtman N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Penza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saturn Ramenskoye 95 / 100
Penza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saturn Ramenskoye Penza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saturn Ramenskoye Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saturn Ramenskoye went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Saturn Ramenskoye scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Penza conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Saturn Ramenskoye VS Penza
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Saturn Ramenskoye

(Home)
17 Sept
Ryazan
2 : 2
Saturn Ramenskoye
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Saturn Ramenskoye
05 Sept
R. Volgograd 2
1 : 3
Saturn Ramenskoye
30 Aug
Strogino Moscow
0 : 2
Saturn Ramenskoye
22 Aug
Kvant Obninsk
2 : 6
Saturn Ramenskoye
Page 1 of 6

Penza

(Away)
19 Sept
Penza
0 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
13 Sept
Strogino Moscow
3 : 0
Penza
05 Sept
Penza
2 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk 2
29 Aug
FK Shumbrat Saransk
1 : 3
Penza
22 Aug
Penza
1 : 0
Spartak Tambov
Page 1 of 6