Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saudi Arabia U23 vs Mali U20

World World

Maurice Revello Tournament 2025 Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny, Aubagne
Mon, Jun 9, 2025
2 - 3
12:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Al Alaeli M.
Assist: Al Aliwa A.
34'
Al Oyayari A.
43'
Soukouna I.

AI Match Summary

Mali U20 in this Maurice Revello Tournament 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mali U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Saudi Arabia U23
15%
Draws
64%
Mali U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mali U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Mali U20 haven't matched Saudi Arabia U23's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Saudi Arabia U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Mali U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saudi Arabia U23 Mali U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 1 4
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.6 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2025 Maurice Revello Tournament
Saudi Arabia U23 vs Mali U20
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saudi Arabia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Alaeli M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Radif A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Mali U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Diakite G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Samake W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saudi Arabia U23 36 / 100
Mali U20 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saudi Arabia U23 Mali U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mali U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saudi Arabia U23's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Mali U20 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Saudi Arabia U23 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Saudi Arabia U23 VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saudi Arabia U23

(Home)
25 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 0
Saudi Arabia U23
22 Sept
South Korea U23
2 : 0
Saudi Arabia U23
18 Sept
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 0
Qatar U23
12 Jan
Saudi Arabia U23
0 : 1
Vietnam U23
09 Jan
Jordan U23
3 : 2
Saudi Arabia U23
Page 1 of 6

Mali U20

(Away)
14 Jun
Mali U20
3 : 2
Japan U20
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 3
Mali U20
06 Jun
France U20
1 : 2
Mali U20
03 Jun
Mali U20
1 : 2
Panama U20
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U20 3 2 0 1 5:3 7
2 Saudi Arabia U23 3 1 0 2 5:5 4
3 Mali U20 3 2 0 1 4:5 4
4 Panama U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Maurice Revello Tournament 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Relegation - Maurice Revello Tournament 2025 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U20 3 3 0 0 8:3 8
2 Mexico U20 3 1 0 2 7:7 4
3 Japan U20 3 1 0 2 3:4 4
4 Congo U20 3 1 0 2 3:7 2
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Maurice Revello Tournament 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Relegation - Maurice Revello Tournament 2025 (Placement Play Offs)