Sport Picks
Saudi Arabia vs Australia
World
World Championship 2026 King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah 
Match Events
19'
19'
Al Oboud A.
33'
33'
Boyle M.
42'
42'
Metcalfe C.
Assist: Duke M.
AI Match Summary
Australia in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Australia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Australia lately — more wins on the board than Saudi Arabia.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Saudi Arabia Clean Sheet 17%
Australia Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Saudi Arabia | Australia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 10, 2025 World Championship
Saudi Arabia vs Australia
1:2
Nov 14, 2024 World Championship
Australia vs Saudi Arabia
0:0
Mar 29, 2022 World Championship
Saudi Arabia vs Australia
1:0
Nov 11, 2021 World Championship
Australia vs Saudi Arabia
0:0
Jun 8, 2017 World Championship
Australia vs Saudi Arabia
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Saudi Arabia Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Oboud A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Australia Compare
Top Goalscorer Metcalfe C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Duke M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Saudi Arabia 31 / 100
Australia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Saudi Arabia Australia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Saudi Arabia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Saudi Arabia's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
Defensive concern: Australia conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Saudi Arabia VS Australia
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Saudi Arabia
(Home) 23 Sept
Saudi Arabia
1 : 0 Kuwait
27 Jun
Cape Verde
0 : 0 Saudi Arabia
21 Jun
Spain
4 : 0 Saudi Arabia
15 Jun
Saudi Arabia
1 : 1 Uruguay
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia
0 : 0 Senegal
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23 Sept
Saudi Arabia
1 : 0 Kuwait
15 Jun
Saudi Arabia
1 : 1 Uruguay
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia
0 : 0 Senegal
27 Mar
Saudi Arabia
0 : 4 Egypt
15 Dec
Saudi Arabia
0 : 1 Jordan
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Australia
(Away) 03 Jul
Australia
1 : 2 Egypt
26 Jun
Paraguay
0 : 0 Australia
19 Jun
USA
2 : 0 Australia
14 Jun
Australia
2 : 0 Turkey
06 Jun
Switzerland
1 : 1 Australia
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26 Jun
Paraguay
0 : 0 Australia
19 Jun
USA
2 : 0 Australia
06 Jun
Switzerland
1 : 1 Australia
31 May
Mexico
1 : 0 Australia
19 Nov
Colombia
3 : 0 Australia
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iran | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19:8 | 23 |
| 2 | Uzbekistan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 3 | United Arab Emirates | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Qatar | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:24 | 13 |
| 5 | Kyrgyzstan | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | 8 |
| 6 | North Korea | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9:21 | 3 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Korea | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 20:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Jordan | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Iraq | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 15 |
| 4 | Oman | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 5 | Palestine | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 6 | Kuwait | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7:20 | 5 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 30:3 | 23 |
| 2 | Australia | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Indonesia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:20 | 12 |
| 5 | China | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | 9 |
| 6 | Bahrain | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5:16 | 6 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)
