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Saudi Arabia vs Jordan

World World

FIFA Arab Cup Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Al Khaibari A.
46'
Sub
Ersan A. In: Shararh
Out: Ersan A.
46'
Sub
Abu Al Shamat S. In: Al Oboud A.
Out: Abu Al Shamat S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Saudi Arabia
30%
Draws
0%
Jordan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saudi Arabia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saudi Arabia lately — more wins on the board than Jordan.
  • Model gives Saudi Arabia a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Saudi Arabia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Jordan, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Saudi Arabia Clean Sheet 68%
Jordan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saudi Arabia Jordan
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.04 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 15, 2025 FIFA Arab Cup
Saudi Arabia vs Jordan
0:1
May 30, 2025 Friendly International
Saudi Arabia vs Jordan
2:0
Jun 11, 2024 World Championship
Saudi Arabia vs Jordan
1:2
Nov 21, 2023 World Championship
Jordan vs Saudi Arabia
0:2
Dec 1, 2021 FIFA Arab Cup
Saudi Arabia vs Jordan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saudi Arabia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Jordan Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Rashdan N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saudi Arabia 95 / 100
Jordan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saudi Arabia Jordan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saudi Arabia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Jordan registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Saudi Arabia scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Jordan conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Saudi Arabia VS Jordan
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Saudi Arabia

(Home)
23 Sept
Saudi Arabia
1 : 0
Kuwait
27 Jun
Cape Verde
0 : 0
Saudi Arabia
21 Jun
Spain
4 : 0
Saudi Arabia
15 Jun
Saudi Arabia
1 : 1
Uruguay
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia
0 : 0
Senegal
Page 1 of 6

Jordan

(Away)
28 Jun
Jordan
1 : 3
Argentina
23 Jun
Jordan
1 : 2
Algeria
17 Jun
Austria
3 : 1
Jordan
07 Jun
Colombia
2 : 0
Jordan
31 May
Switzerland
4 : 1
Jordan
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Palestine 1
Saudi Arabia 2
Jordan 1
Iraq 0
Morocco 1
Syria 0
Algeria 1
United Arab Emirates 2
Semi-finals
Saudi Arabia 0
Jordan 1
Morocco 3
United Arab Emirates 0
Final
Jordan 2
Morocco 3
Saudi Arabia 0
United Arab Emirates 0