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Stadium Background

Saudi Arabia vs Pakistan

World World

World Championship 2026 Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Al Shehri S.
8'
Dost S.
46'
Sub
Dost S. In: Hamid H.
Out: Dost S.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saudi Arabia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Saudi Arabia
44%
Draws
20%
Pakistan
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Saudi Arabia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Saudi Arabia Clean Sheet 16%
Pakistan Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saudi Arabia Pakistan
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 0.88 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2024 World Championship
Pakistan vs Saudi Arabia
0:3
Nov 16, 2023 World Championship
Saudi Arabia vs Pakistan
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saudi Arabia Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Shehri S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ghareeb A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Pakistan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saudi Arabia 36 / 100
Pakistan 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saudi Arabia Pakistan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Saudi Arabia's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Pakistan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Saudi Arabia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saudi Arabia VS Pakistan
0.88 Goals Scored 1.6
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.4
63% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

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PosTeamPWDLGDPts
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PosTeamPWDLGDPts
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4Chinese Taipei60062:170
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iran642016:414
2Uzbekistan642013:414
3Turkmenistan60244:142
4Hong Kong60244:152
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iraq660017:218
2Indonesia63128:810
3Vietnam62046:106
4Philippines60153:141
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jordan641116:413
2Saudi Arabia641112:313
3Tajikistan622211:78
4Pakistan60061:260
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1United Arab Emirates651016:216
2Bahrain632111:311
3Yemen61235:95
4Nepal60152:201
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Australia660022:018
2Palestine62226:68
3Lebanon61325:86
4Bangladesh60151:201