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Saudi Arabia vs Palestine Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

Asian Cup King Fahd International Stadium, Riyadh
Thu, Jan 7, 2027
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Asian Cup. This one's hard to separate. Saudi Arabia have averaged 1.35 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Palestine's 1.11 scored and 1.32 conceded. Head-to-head, Saudi Arabia have won 2 to Palestine's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Dec 11, 2025, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.06, favoring Saudi Arabia. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Saudi Arabia
35%
Draws
27%
Palestine
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Saudi Arabia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Saudi Arabia have won more games recently than Palestine.
  • Model gives Saudi Arabia a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Saudi Arabia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Saudi Arabia, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Saudi Arabia Clean Sheet 20%
Palestine Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saudi Arabia Palestine
Matches Played 43 28
Wins 22 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.35 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 11, 2025 FIFA Arab Cup
Palestine vs Saudi Arabia
1:2
Jan 9, 2024 Friendly International
Palestine vs Saudi Arabia
0:0
Dec 4, 2021 FIFA Arab Cup
Palestine vs Saudi Arabia
1:1
Mar 30, 2021 World Championship
Saudi Arabia vs Palestine
5:0
Oct 15, 2019 World Championship
Palestine vs Saudi Arabia
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saudi Arabia 42 / 100
Palestine 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saudi Arabia Palestine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saudi Arabia found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (43 games).

Palestine let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Saudi Arabia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saudi Arabia VS Palestine
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Saudi Arabia

(Home)
29 Sept
Saudi Arabia
2 : 0
Iraq
26 Sept
Oman
0 : 3
Saudi Arabia
23 Sept
Saudi Arabia
1 : 0
Kuwait
27 Jun
Cape Verde
0 : 0
Saudi Arabia
21 Jun
Spain
4 : 0
Saudi Arabia
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Palestine

(Away)
30 Sept
Konyaspor
2 : 2
Palestine
28 Sept
Tajikistan
2 : 4
Palestine
24 Sept
Palestine
2 : 2
New Zealand
09 Jun
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 0
Palestine
06 Jun
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 0
Palestine
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Oman 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Kuwait 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Palestine 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Bahrain 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Uzbekistan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Jordan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Syria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 China 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Kyrgyzstan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Singapore 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Iraq 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Tajikistan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 South Korea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Vietnam 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Yemen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Qatar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Thailand 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Indonesia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams