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Stadium Background

Saumur Olympique vs Lorient II

France France

National 2 - Group A
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saumur Olympique play Lorient II in the National 2 - Group A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Saumur Olympique averaged 0.75 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. Lorient II averaged 1 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Saumur Olympique won 0, Lorient II won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Saumur Olympique and 1.81 for Lorient II. This points to a Lorient II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Saumur Olympique
6%
Draws
90%
Lorient II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lorient II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lorient II has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Saumur Olympique.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Lorient II.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in National 2 - Group A provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Saumur Olympique Clean Sheet 11%
Lorient II Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saumur Olympique Lorient II
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 10 5
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Saumur Olympique vs Lorient II
2:2
Dec 13, 2025 National 2 - Group A
Lorient II vs Saumur Olympique
2:2
Feb 4, 2023 National 2 - Group D
Saumur Olympique vs Lorient II
0:3
Sep 3, 2022 National 2 - Group D
Lorient II vs Saumur Olympique
1:1
Apr 13, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Saumur Olympique vs Lorient II
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saumur Olympique Compare

Top Goalscorer Bourgaud E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Lorient II Compare

Top Goalscorer Mouledous A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Le Gal N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saumur Olympique 10 / 100
Lorient II 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saumur Olympique Lorient II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saumur Olympique scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Lorient II let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Saumur Olympique went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Lorient II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saumur Olympique VS Lorient II
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325