Sport Picks
Saumur Olympique vs Lorient II Prediction & H2H Stats
France
National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 
Match Events
3'
3'
Akakpo I.
Own Goal
50'
50'
Bourgaud E.
62'
62'
Mouledous A.
AI Match Summary
The National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 game between Saumur Olympique and Lorient II finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lorient II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lorient II come out ahead of Saumur Olympique on wins alone.
- Lorient II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Saumur Olympique Clean Sheet 13%
Lorient II Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Saumur Olympique | Lorient II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.84 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Saumur Olympique vs Lorient II
2:2
Dec 13, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Lorient II vs Saumur Olympique
2:2
Feb 4, 2023 National 2 - Group D
Saumur Olympique vs Lorient II
0:3
Sep 3, 2022 National 2 - Group D
Lorient II vs Saumur Olympique
1:1
Apr 13, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Saumur Olympique vs Lorient II
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Saumur Olympique Compare
Top Goalscorer Bourgaud E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Lorient II Compare
Top Goalscorer Mouledous A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Le Gal N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Saumur Olympique 10 / 100
Lorient II 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Saumur Olympique Lorient II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lorient II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lorient II has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Saumur Olympique found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).
Away concern: Lorient II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Saumur Olympique VS Lorient II
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Saumur Olympique
(Home) 03 Oct
Saint-Malo
2 : 1 Saumur Olympique
19 Sept
Saumur Olympique
1 : 4 Stade Briochin
12 Sept
Le Poire Sur Vie
2 : 0 Saumur Olympique
05 Sept
Saumur Olympique
2 : 1 Pontivy
29 Aug
Bayonne
1 : 0 Saumur Olympique
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Saumur Olympique
1 : 4 Stade Briochin
05 Sept
Saumur Olympique
2 : 1 Pontivy
22 Aug
Saumur Olympique
0 : 0 Tarbes
08 Aug
Saumur Olympique
0 : 0 Le Mans
09 May
Saumur Olympique
0 : 0 Montlouis
Page 1 of 3
Lorient II
(Away) 02 Oct
Stade Briochin
1 : 3 Lorient II
19 Sept
Lorient II
1 : 2 Le Poire Sur Vie
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3 Lorient II
05 Sept
Lorient II
0 : 1 Bayonne
29 Aug
Tarbes
1 : 0 Lorient II
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Stade Briochin
1 : 3 Lorient II
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3 Lorient II
29 Aug
Tarbes
1 : 0 Lorient II
09 May
Angouleme CFC
3 : 2 Lorient II
25 Apr
Saumur Olympique
2 : 2 Lorient II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche Vendee | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 61:27 | 65 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 51:28 | 62 |
| 3 | Bayonne | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 42:27 | 55 |
| 4 | Saint-Malo | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 43:29 | 50 |
| 5 | Les Herbiers | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 45:33 | 49 |
| 6 | Angouleme CFC | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:36 | 43 |
| 7 | Dinan | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:45 | 41 |
| 8 | Avranches | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46:41 | 40 |
| 9 | Chauray | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 10 | St. Colomban Locmine | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 31:34 | 37 |
| 11 | Montlouis | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 42:50 | 31 |
| 12 | Lorient II | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:51 | 31 |
| 13 | Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 25:47 | 30 |
| 14 | Granville | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32:41 | 29 |
| 15 | Saumur Olympique | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 37:56 | 28 |
| 16 | Stade Poitevin | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 21:43 | 25 |
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)
