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Saumur Olympique vs Pacy Eure

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CFA - Group D 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group D 2011/2012 game between Saumur Olympique and Pacy Eure finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saumur Olympique.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Saumur Olympique
35%
Draws
41%
Pacy Eure
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pacy Eure

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pacy Eure come out ahead of Saumur Olympique on wins alone.
  • 24% — that's where the model lands on Saumur Olympique taking it.
  • Regular CFA - Group D 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Saumur Olympique Clean Sheet 16%
Pacy Eure Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saumur Olympique Pacy Eure
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 12 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Saumur Olympique vs Pacy Eure
1:0
Nov 12, 2011 National 2 - Group D
Pacy Eure vs Saumur Olympique
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saumur Olympique 48 / 100
Pacy Eure 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saumur Olympique Pacy Eure

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saumur Olympique Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pacy Eure conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Saumur Olympique stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Saumur Olympique found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Saumur Olympique VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saumur Olympique

(Home)
29 Aug
Bayonne
1 : 0
Saumur Olympique
22 Aug
Saumur Olympique
0 : 0
Tarbes
08 Aug
Saumur Olympique
0 : 0
Le Mans
16 May
Bayonne
3 : 2
Saumur Olympique
09 May
Saumur Olympique
0 : 0
Montlouis
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Pacy Eure

(Away)
02 Jun
La Vitreenne
0 : 1
Pacy Eure
26 May
Pacy Eure
1 : 1
Pontivy
19 May
Les Herbiers
3 : 1
Pacy Eure
12 May
Pacy Eure
2 : 2
Fontenay
04 May
Romorantin
3 : 1
Pacy Eure
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carquefou 34 21 8 5 52:23 105
2 Lucon 34 21 8 5 63:38 105
3 Avranches 34 19 6 9 53:33 97
4 Plabennec 34 15 11 8 55:41 90
5 Romorantin 34 16 7 11 58:33 89
6 Les Herbiers 34 14 9 11 40:40 85
7 Concarneau 34 13 7 14 49:44 80
8 Mantes 34 13 7 14 45:44 79
9 Saumur Olympique 34 11 10 13 38:43 77
10 Le Havre II 34 12 7 15 46:55 77
11 Viry-Chatillon 34 12 5 17 43:45 75
12 Le Mans II 34 10 11 13 41:47 75
13 Fontenay 34 10 9 15 30:43 73
14 Pacy Eure 34 10 9 15 34:49 73
15 Caen II 34 9 11 14 34:42 72
16 Pontivy 34 8 13 13 29:37 71
17 Lorient II 34 9 9 16 38:55 70
18 La Vitreenne 34 5 9 20 24:60 57
Promotion - National 2012/2013 (Main)