Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saumur Olympique vs Pontivy

France France

National 1 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Nkassa J.
19' Event
Keita N.
84' Event
Bochereau M.

AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group B game between Saumur Olympique and Pontivy finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saumur Olympique.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Saumur Olympique
35%
Draws
28%
Pontivy
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Saumur Olympique

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Pontivy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Saumur Olympique a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Saumur Olympique Clean Sheet 15%
Pontivy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saumur Olympique Pontivy
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 12 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.2 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Saumur Olympique vs Pontivy
2:1
Apr 20, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Saumur Olympique
1:0
Dec 1, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Saumur Olympique vs Pontivy
1:1
Mar 10, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Saumur Olympique
0:0
Sep 17, 2011 National 2 - Group D
Saumur Olympique vs Pontivy
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saumur Olympique Compare

Top Goalscorer Keita N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bochereau M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Pontivy Compare

Top Goalscorer Nkassa J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saumur Olympique 66 / 100
Pontivy 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saumur Olympique Pontivy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saumur Olympique Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saumur Olympique scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Pontivy let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Saumur Olympique has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Saumur Olympique VS Pontivy
0.63 Goals Scored 0.86
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 57%
63% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Saumur Olympique

(Home)
19 Sept
Saumur Olympique
1 : 4
Stade Briochin
12 Sept
Le Poire Sur Vie
2 : 0
Saumur Olympique
05 Sept
Saumur Olympique
2 : 1
Pontivy
29 Aug
Bayonne
1 : 0
Saumur Olympique
22 Aug
Saumur Olympique
0 : 0
Tarbes
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Pontivy

(Away)
19 Sept
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
2 : 2
Pontivy
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3
Lorient II
05 Sept
Saumur Olympique
2 : 1
Pontivy
29 Aug
Pontivy
1 : 1
Granville
22 Aug
Saint-Malo
1 : 1
Pontivy
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayonne 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
2 Angouleme CFC 5 3 2 0 9:4 11
3 Dinan 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
4 Stade Briochin 5 2 3 0 7:3 9
5 Granville 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
6 Avranches 5 2 2 1 6:3 8
7 Tarbes 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
8 Saint-Malo 5 2 2 1 6:2 8
9 Le Poire Sur Vie 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
10 Lorient II 5 2 0 3 7:5 6
11 St. Colomban Locmine 5 1 2 2 2:3 5
12 Les Herbiers 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
13 Saumur Olympique 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
14 Pontivy 5 0 3 2 5:9 3
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 5 0 3 2 3:7 3
16 Chauray 5 0 1 4 3:9 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)