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Saumur Olympique vs Stade Briochin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Loki F.
53' Event
Megdad N.
81' Event
Montiel R.

AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group B game between Saumur Olympique and Stade Briochin finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stade Briochin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Saumur Olympique
30%
Draws
47%
Stade Briochin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stade Briochin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Stade Briochin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Stade Briochin taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Stade Briochin here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Saumur Olympique Clean Sheet 14%
Stade Briochin Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saumur Olympique Stade Briochin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 12 12
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Saumur Olympique vs Stade Briochin
1:4
Apr 26, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Saumur Olympique vs Stade Briochin
0:2
Dec 14, 2024 National 1 - Group B
Stade Briochin vs Saumur Olympique
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saumur Olympique Compare

Top Goalscorer Payraudeau L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Stade Briochin Compare

Top Goalscorer Loki F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Megdad N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saumur Olympique 19 / 100
Stade Briochin 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saumur Olympique Stade Briochin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stade Briochin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Saumur Olympique scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Stade Briochin conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Saumur Olympique went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saumur Olympique VS Stade Briochin
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Saumur Olympique

(Home)
03 Oct
Saint-Malo
2 : 1
Saumur Olympique
19 Sept
Saumur Olympique
1 : 4
Stade Briochin
12 Sept
Le Poire Sur Vie
2 : 0
Saumur Olympique
05 Sept
Saumur Olympique
2 : 1
Pontivy
29 Aug
Bayonne
1 : 0
Saumur Olympique
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Stade Briochin

(Away)
02 Oct
Stade Briochin
1 : 3
Lorient II
19 Sept
Saumur Olympique
1 : 4
Stade Briochin
11 Sept
Stade Briochin
2 : 2
Granville
04 Sept
Saint-Malo
0 : 0
Stade Briochin
28 Aug
Stade Briochin
0 : 0
St. Colomban Locmine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angouleme CFC 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
2 Bayonne 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
3 Granville 6 3 2 1 9:8 11
4 Avranches 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
5 Dinan 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
6 Saint-Malo 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
7 Tarbes 6 2 3 1 3:2 9
8 Lorient II 6 3 0 3 10:6 9
9 Le Poire Sur Vie 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Stade Briochin 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
11 Les Herbiers 6 2 1 3 5:7 7
12 St. Colomban Locmine 6 1 2 3 3:5 5
13 Saumur Olympique 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
14 Pontivy 6 0 3 3 5:10 3
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 6 0 3 3 3:10 3
16 Chauray 6 0 1 5 3:11 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)