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Stadium Background

Saumur Olympique vs Tarbes

France France

National 1 - Group B
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 1 - Group B matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Saumur Olympique
35%
Draws
32%
Tarbes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Tarbes have won more games recently than Saumur Olympique.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National 1 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Saumur Olympique Clean Sheet 18%
Tarbes Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saumur Olympique Tarbes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 7
Draws 12 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.14 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Saumur Olympique vs Tarbes
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saumur Olympique 31 / 100
Tarbes 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saumur Olympique Tarbes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saumur Olympique Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tarbes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Saumur Olympique stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Saumur Olympique scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Saumur Olympique VS Tarbes
0.75 Goals Scored 0.33
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.83
75% Over 1.5 33%
75% Over 2.5 33%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saumur Olympique

(Home)
12 Sept
Le Poire Sur Vie
2 : 0
Saumur Olympique
05 Sept
Saumur Olympique
2 : 1
Pontivy
29 Aug
Bayonne
1 : 0
Saumur Olympique
22 Aug
Saumur Olympique
0 : 0
Tarbes
08 Aug
Saumur Olympique
0 : 0
Le Mans
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Tarbes

(Away)
12 Sept
Tarbes
1 : 2
Angouleme CFC
05 Sept
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
0 : 0
Tarbes
29 Aug
Tarbes
1 : 0
Lorient II
22 Aug
Saumur Olympique
0 : 0
Tarbes
17 Jul
Pau
3 : 0
Tarbes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayonne 4 4 0 0 7:2 12
2 Angouleme CFC 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Saint-Malo 4 2 2 0 6:1 8
4 Avranches 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
5 Dinan 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
6 Lorient II 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
7 Stade Briochin 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Tarbes 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
9 Granville 4 1 2 1 6:7 5
10 Les Herbiers 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
11 Saumur Olympique 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
12 Le Poire Sur Vie 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
13 St. Colomban Locmine 4 0 2 2 1:3 2
14 Pontivy 4 0 2 2 3:7 2
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 Chauray 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)