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Saumur Olympique vs Tarbes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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National 1 - Group B
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 1 - Group B matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Saumur Olympique
15%
Draws
59%
Tarbes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tarbes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Tarbes have won more games recently than Saumur Olympique.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Tarbes taking it.
  • Regular National 1 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Saumur Olympique Clean Sheet 20%
Tarbes Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saumur Olympique Tarbes
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 11 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.29 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Saumur Olympique vs Tarbes
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saumur Olympique 28 / 100
Tarbes 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saumur Olympique Tarbes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tarbes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saumur Olympique's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Tarbes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Saumur Olympique has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Saumur Olympique VS Tarbes
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saumur Olympique

(Home)
31 Oct
Saumur Olympique
0 : 1
St. Colomban Locmine
17 Oct
Saumur Olympique
2 : 1
Granville
03 Oct
Saint-Malo
2 : 1
Saumur Olympique
19 Sept
Saumur Olympique
1 : 4
Stade Briochin
12 Sept
Le Poire Sur Vie
2 : 0
Saumur Olympique
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Tarbes

(Away)
31 Oct
Tarbes
2 : 1
Chauray
17 Oct
Avranches
2 : 0
Tarbes
03 Oct
Tarbes
0 : 0
Dinan
19 Sept
Les Herbiers
0 : 1
Tarbes
12 Sept
Tarbes
1 : 2
Angouleme CFC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angouleme CFC 8 6 2 0 13:5 20
2 Avranches 8 5 2 1 13:3 17
3 Bayonne 8 5 1 2 11:8 16
4 Lorient II 8 4 1 3 13:7 13
5 Granville 8 3 3 2 10:10 12
6 Dinan 8 3 3 2 7:7 12
7 Tarbes 8 3 3 2 5:5 12
8 Saint-Malo 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
9 St. Colomban Locmine 8 3 2 3 7:6 11
10 Stade Briochin 8 2 4 2 9:8 10
11 Le Poire Sur Vie 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
12 Les Herbiers 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
13 Saumur Olympique 8 2 1 5 6:12 7
14 Pontivy 8 0 5 3 7:12 5
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 8 0 5 3 5:12 5
16 Chauray 8 0 1 7 5:16 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)