Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sava Strmec vs Pitomaca

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Babic M.
17' Event
Akassou E.
20' Event
Kajzogaj L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-7, with Pitomaca advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Sava Strmec
15%
Draws
44%
Pitomaca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pitomaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Sava Strmec haven't matched Pitomaca's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Pitomaca a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Pitomaca arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Pitomaca, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Sava Strmec Clean Sheet 10%
Pitomaca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sava Strmec Pitomaca
Matches Played 4 9
Wins 1 2
Draws 0 1
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.56
Goals Conceded 4.75 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2024 Croatian Cup
Sava Strmec vs Pitomaca
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sava Strmec Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Pitomaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Akassou E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Babic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sava Strmec 10 / 100
Pitomaca 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sava Strmec Pitomaca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pitomaca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Pitomaca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 9 matches.

Away concern: Pitomaca has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Sava Strmec scored in 50% of their last 4 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sava Strmec VS Pitomaca
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
4.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sava Strmec

(Home)
28 Aug
Sava Strmec
0 : 7
Pitomaca
31 Aug
Sava Strmec
4 : 6
Bednja Beletinec
29 Aug
Medjimurje
5 : 0
Sava Strmec
28 Feb
Kustosija
1 : 2
Sava Strmec

Pitomaca

(Away)
18 Jul
Pitomaca
0 : 0
Bjelovar
27 Aug
NK Koprivnica
1 : 0
Pitomaca
11 Sept
Pitomaca
1 : 2
Rudes
28 Aug
Sava Strmec
0 : 7
Pitomaca
29 Aug
Dugo Selo
3 : 2
Pitomaca
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Zrinski Osjecko 4
Moslavina 0
TBD -
Sibenik -
Kustosija 3
NK Polet 0
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Nehaj Senj 0
Croatia Dakovo 4
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Gaj Mace 2
Karlovac 1
TBD -
Varazdin -
Sloga Nova Gradiska 0
Bjelovar 1
TBD -
Jaska Vinogradar -
Banjole 2
Mladost Petrinja 0
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 1
Slavonija Pozega 2
TBD -
Oriolik -
Medjimurec 1
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 2
TBD -
Osijek -
Jadran Porec 1
Radnik Krizevci 0
TBD -
Mladost Zdralovi -
Bilogora 1
Zagora 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Bednja Beletinec 2
Orijent 1
TBD -
Belisce -
Neretvanac 2
Bedem Ivankovo 0
TBD -
Rijeka -
Sava Strmec 0
Pitomaca 7
TBD -
Rudes -
Tomislav DA 5
Sloga Borovo 0
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Dugopolje 1
Jarun 0
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
Samobor 10
Ferdinandovac 0
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
1/16-finals
Zrinski Osjecko 0
Sibenik 2
Kustosija 0
Slaven Belupo 1
Croatia Dakovo 1
HNK Gorica 2
Gaj Mace 1
Varazdin 2
Bjelovar 4
Jaska Vinogradar 0
Banjole 1
Din. Zagreb 3
Slavonija Pozega 3
Oriolik 0
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 1
Osijek 3
Jadran Porec 0
Mladost Zdralovi 2
Bilogora 0
Hajduk Split 4
Bednja Beletinec 3
Belisce 0
Neretvanac 1
Rijeka 3
Pitomaca 1
Rudes 2
Tomislav DA 0
Istra 1961 2
Dugopolje 1
Bijelo Brdo 0
Samobor 2
Lok. Zagreb 4
1/8-finals
Sibenik 1
Slaven Belupo 2
HNK Gorica 2
Varazdin 1
Bjelovar 2
Din. Zagreb 3
Slavonija Pozega 1
Osijek 2
Mladost Zdralovi 0
Hajduk Split 3
Bednja Beletinec 0
Rijeka 3
Rudes 1
Istra 1961 2
Dugopolje 0
Lok. Zagreb 1
Quarter-finals
Slaven Belupo 3
HNK Gorica 1
Din. Zagreb 0
Osijek 1
Hajduk Split 1
Rijeka 3
Istra 1961 3
Lok. Zagreb 0
Semi-finals
Slaven Belupo 1
Osijek 0
Rijeka 1
Istra 1961 0
Final
Slaven Belupo 1
Rijeka 2