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Savedalen vs Astorps

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Savedalen play Astorps in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Savedalen averaged 1.24 goals scored and 2.28 conceded. Astorps averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Savedalen won 0, Astorps won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 2, 2024 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Savedalen and 1.19 for Astorps. This points to a Astorps double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Savedalen
28%
Draws
48%
Astorps
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Astorps

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Savedalen picked up more points recently compared to Astorps.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Savedalen Clean Sheet 20%
Astorps Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Savedalen Astorps
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 6 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Savedalen vs Astorps
1:4
Oct 26, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Astorps vs Savedalen
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Savedalen Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdi I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Astorps Compare

Top Goalscorer Akpoveta O.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Butolen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Savedalen 26 / 100
Astorps 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Savedalen Astorps

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Astorps or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Savedalen attacking → ← attacking Astorps

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Savedalen scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Astorps let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Savedalen went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Astorps lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 50
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63