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Savignanese vs Breno

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Peluso L.

AI Match Summary

Savignanese in this Serie D - Group D 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Savignanese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Savignanese
35%
Draws
32%
Breno
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Breno have won more games recently than Savignanese.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Savignanese Clean Sheet 20%
Breno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Savignanese Breno
Matches Played 21 32
Wins 4 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 0.9 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Savignanese vs Breno
1:0
Oct 6, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Breno vs Savignanese
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Savignanese Compare

Top Goalscorer Peluso L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Breno Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Savignanese 31 / 100
Breno 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Savignanese Breno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Savignanese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Breno conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

Savignanese's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Savignanese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Breno
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Savignanese

(Home)
23 Feb
Savignanese
1 : 1
Sammaurese
16 Feb
Desenzano Calvina
3 : 0
Savignanese
09 Feb
Savignanese
1 : 0
Breno
02 Feb
Ciliverghe Mazzano
3 : 2
Savignanese
26 Jan
Savignanese
0 : 0
Franciacorta
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Breno

(Away)
10 May
Breno
0 : 1
Pavia
03 May
Breno
2 : 1
Villa Valle
26 Apr
Varesina
2 : 2
Breno
19 Apr
Breno
0 : 2
Brusaporto
12 Apr
Real Calepina
1 : 1
Breno
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