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Savignanese vs Vigor Carpaneto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2019/2020
Wed, Apr 1, 2020
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Savignanese host Vigor Carpaneto in the Serie D - Group D 2019/2020. This one's hard to separate. Savignanese have averaged 0.9 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Vigor Carpaneto's 1.4 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Savignanese slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 1, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.67 vs 0.75, favoring Vigor Carpaneto. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Savignanese
35%
Draws
45%
Vigor Carpaneto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vigor Carpaneto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Vigor Carpaneto have won more games recently than Savignanese.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Savignanese taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Savignanese Clean Sheet 20%
Vigor Carpaneto Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Savignanese Vigor Carpaneto
Matches Played 21 20
Wins 4 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Savignanese vs Vigor Carpaneto
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Vigor Carpaneto vs Savignanese
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Savignanese 42 / 100
Vigor Carpaneto 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Savignanese Vigor Carpaneto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vigor Carpaneto let in goals in 90% of their last 20 matches.

Savignanese found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (21 games).

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Savignanese stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Savignanese VS Vigor Carpaneto
0.13 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Savignanese

(Home)
23 Feb
Savignanese
1 : 1
Sammaurese
16 Feb
Desenzano Calvina
3 : 0
Savignanese
09 Feb
Savignanese
1 : 0
Breno
02 Feb
Ciliverghe Mazzano
3 : 2
Savignanese
26 Jan
Savignanese
0 : 0
Franciacorta
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Vigor Carpaneto

(Away)
16 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Correggese
09 Feb
Crema
1 : 2
Vigor Carpaneto
02 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Fiorenzuola
26 Jan
Mantova
1 : 1
Vigor Carpaneto
19 Jan
Vigor Carpaneto
1 : 1
Mezzolara
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