Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SB Castelo Branco vs CD Rabo Peixe

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Da Costa Benevides R.
57' Event
Da Costa Benevides R.
72' Event
Marques F.

AI Match Summary

CD Rabo Peixe in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Rabo Peixe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
SB Castelo Branco
15%
Draws
28%
CD Rabo Peixe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SB Castelo Branco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Rabo Peixe haven't matched SB Castelo Branco's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on SB Castelo Branco taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
SB Castelo Branco Clean Sheet 68%
CD Rabo Peixe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SB Castelo Branco CD Rabo Peixe
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.83 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SB Castelo Branco vs CD Rabo Peixe
1:2
Oct 28, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
CD Rabo Peixe vs SB Castelo Branco
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SB Castelo Branco Compare

Top Goalscorer Marques F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

CD Rabo Peixe Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Costa Benevides R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SB Castelo Branco 95 / 100
CD Rabo Peixe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SB Castelo Branco CD Rabo Peixe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SB Castelo Branco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SB Castelo Branco found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

CD Rabo Peixe has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: CD Rabo Peixe registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SB Castelo Branco VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SB Castelo Branco

(Home)
06 Sept
Alverca B
0 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
29 Aug
Fatima
3 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 4
Naval 1893
16 Aug
Oliveira Hospital
2 : 3
SB Castelo Branco
18 Apr
Fatima
4 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
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CD Rabo Peixe

(Away)
07 Sept
Sacavenense
7 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
21 Sept
Anadia
3 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
07 Apr
Tomar
0 : 4
CD Rabo Peixe
24 Mar
CD Rabo Peixe
0 : 3
Alverca B
17 Mar
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
CD Rabo Peixe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santarem 26 17 4 5 52:23 55
2 SC Lusitania 26 15 6 5 40:22 51
3 Marinhense 26 15 5 6 43:26 50
4 Alverca B 26 11 6 9 34:19 39
5 Uniao de Coimbra 26 11 5 10 30:26 38
6 SB Castelo Branco 26 10 7 9 34:29 37
7 GD Peniche 26 11 4 11 28:39 37
8 Sertanense 26 10 7 9 26:25 37
9 Mortagua FC 26 10 7 9 30:36 37
10 GD Fontinhas 26 9 5 12 23:32 32
11 CD Rabo Peixe 26 8 6 12 30:34 28
12 Vitoria Sernache 26 5 10 11 17:30 25
13 CD Gouveia 26 5 6 15 35:48 21
14 Tomar 26 5 2 19 20:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)